Match Info

Maranhense - Round 6

Date: 28 January 2026, Wednesday


	ITZ Sport		Luminense

	1	X	2
	3	2.88	2.32
	2.88	2.71	2.48
	2.96	2.83	2.49	Watch
	2.9	2.75	2.5
	2.97	2.79	2.46
	3.2	2.9	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.8)	2.81 ↓ (2.95)	2.42 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ITZ Sport
30.3%

Draw
32.2%

Luminense
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

29.9%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

29.7%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ITZ Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Luminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ITZ Sport than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luminense than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ITZ Sport - Luminense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Indio Potiguar ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
67', 0 - 2, Rato C. ⚽,
90+6', 🟥,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 8 in the zone Relegation ~ Maranhense 2 and 6 in the zone Maranhense (Relegation))

ITZ Sport is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Luminense's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Luminense might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ITZ Sport
Brazilian Campeonato Maranhense
25.01.26	ITZ Sport - Tuntum	0:2 ✺
21.01.26	Maranhão - ITZ Sport	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	ITZ Sport - Imperatriz de Desportos	0:1 ✺
14.01.26	ITZ Sport - Moto Club de São Luís	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	IAPE - ITZ Sport	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLLTL
- Luminense AC
Brazilian Campeonato Maranhense
25.01.26	Sampaio Corrêa - Luminense	1:1 ✺
22.01.26	Luminense - IAPE	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	Luminense - Moto Club de São Luís	0:3 ✺
14.01.26	Luminense - Imperatriz de Desportos	1:0 ✺
11.01.26	Tuntum - Luminense	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 TLLWW

ITZ Sport - Luminense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide