Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 30

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadi Municipal de Can Misses (Ibiza)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Ibiza		Alcorcón

	1	X	2
	1.95	2.9	3.8
	2	3	3.8
	2.01	3.07	4.13
	1.97	3.16	4.07	Watch
	1.95	2.8	3.8
	2.05	3.04	3.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.99)	3 ↓ (3.05)	3.93 ↑ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ibiza
46.1%

Draw
30.6%

Alcorcón
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

29.7%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

31.5%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ibiza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Alcorcón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Alcorcón aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Ibiza - Alcorcón Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Ibiza will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Alcorcón will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Juan Ramirez R. (G) 2. Diez S. 16. Pedreno M. 21. Kembo Y. 22. Sola A. 28. Incera I. 12. Garcia D. 11. Castillo F. 24. Valls T. 7. Bebe 9. Davo	1. Ayesa G. (G) 23. Navarro D. 19. Pola J. 4. Rojas J. 15. Rodriguez S. 7. Aparicio E. 5. Rai 22. Blanco R. 18. Aguado T. 14. Vacas L. 9. Carmona M.
Substitutes
3. Albert J. 8. del Olmo I. 6. del Pozo D. 19. Eslava J. 5. Gonzalez Nacho 18. Indias I. 17. Medina U. 4. Monjonell E. 14. Nsukula G. 13. Paradowski T. (G) 10. Svensson M. 25. Torrelavid C. (G)	35. Arcos D. 2. Domingo Ciuraneta P. 11. Kopotun V. 8. Martinez B. 13. Marti O. (G) 3. Nieto S. 28. Santana dos Santos E. L. 16. Tounkara N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', Valls T. 🟨,
24', Davo 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, Aparicio E. ⚽,
39', Navarro D. ↓, Domingo Ciuraneta P. ↑,
43', Domingo Ciuraneta P. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
52', Pedreno M. 🟨,
62', 0 - 2, Carmona M. ⚽,
67', Davo ↓, Svensson M. ↑,
67', Castillo F. ↓, Nsukula G. ↑,
67', Incera I. ↓, Eslava J. ↑,
68', Vacas L. ↓, Kopotun V. ↑,
68', Carmona M. ↓, Martinez B. ↑,
74', 1 - 2, Sola A. ⚽,
77', Valls T. ↓, del Pozo D. ↑,
84', Aparicio E. ↓, Nieto S. ↑,
84', Aguado T. ↓, Tounkara N. ↑,
87', 🟨,
90+10', 2 - 2, Svensson M. ⚽,
90+11', 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ibiza won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Alcorcón may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ibiza is considered a favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ibiza won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:7. (average 2.5:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Ibiza won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 4:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Alcorcon	6	3	3	0	13:4	9	12
9	UD Ibiza	6	3	0	3	8:8	0	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Ibiza
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
22.03.26	Eldense - Ibiza	3:0 ✺
15.03.26	Ibiza - Marbella	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Antequera - Ibiza	0:3 ✺
01.03.26	Ibiza - Tarazona	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Teruel - Ibiza	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLWWL
- AD Alcorcón
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
21.03.26	Teruel - Alcorcón	1:2 ✺
15.03.26	Alcorcón - Algeciras	0:0 ✺
08.03.26	Juventud de Torremolinos - Alcorcón	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Alcorcón - Betis B	3:0 ✺
22.02.26	Eldense - Alcorcón	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
21.12.25	Alcorcón - Ibiza	2:2
10.05.25	Ibiza - Alcorcón	2:0
22.12.24	Alcorcón - Ibiza	1:2
Spanish LaLiga2
08.01.22	Ibiza - Alcorcón	6:2
01.11.21	Alcorcón - Ibiza	0:2
Club Friendly
06.08.21	Alcorcón - Ibiza	2:1

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