Match Info

Date: 28 August 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadi Municipal de Can Misses (Ibiza)

Referee: Alvendiz L. (Esp)


	Ibiza		Deportivo Alavés

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.3	2.5	Watch
	2.7	3	2.45
	2.95	3.05	2.5
	2.8	3.15	2.48
	2.95	3.22	2.65
	2.85	3.24	2.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.75)	3.16 ↓ (3.2)	2.51 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ibiza
33%

Draw
29.7%

Deportivo Alavés
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

28.8%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

28.7%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ibiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Deportivo Alavés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
39.3%	35.7%	25%

Ibiza - Deportivo Alavés Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Ibiza will win (votes: 11 - 39.3%). Alavés will win (votes: 7 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ibiza: 21.2% – 57.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Ibiza has the most likely position - 22 (10.02%), has project points - 49, has currently - 0, has a chance of relegated (33%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (8%), has a very small chance of promoted (4%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Alavés has the most likely position - 2 (10.77%), has project points - 68, has currently - 6, has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (33%), has a chance of promoted (28%), has a small chance of win league (10%).

This event has quality 34, importance 35, match rating 34. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Ibiza is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alavés is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ibiza could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Ibiza
Spanish LaLiga2
22.08.22	Ponferradina - Ibiza	2:1 ✺
14.08.22	Ibiza - Granada	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
07.08.22	Ibiza - Mallorca	0:0 ✺
02.08.22	Elche - Ibiza	0:1 ✺
31.07.22	Ibiza - Tenerife	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LLTWL
- Deportivo Alavés
Spanish LaLiga2
19.08.22	Deportivo Alavés - Mirandés	1:0 ✺
13.08.22	Leganés - Deportivo Alavés	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
06.08.22	Athletic Bilbao - Deportivo Alavés	1:1 ✺
03.08.22	Deportivo Alavés - Sporting de Gijón	1:1 ✺
30.07.22	Deportivo Alavés - Real Oviedo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWTTT

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