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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Alavés 42.6%
Draw 30.8%
Sporting de Gijón 26.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.3%
29.3%
25.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.9%
28.9%
25.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Alavés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
Sporting de Gijón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting de Gijón than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
21.4%
28.6%
Deportivo Alavés - Sporting de Gijón Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Alavés will win (votes: 7 - 50%). Sporting de Gijón will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Alavés: 23.8% – 76.2%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga and 8).
Alavés has the most likely position - 1 (12.48%), has project points - 67, has currently - 22, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (34%), has a chance of promoted (31%), has a small chance of win league (12%).
Sporting de Gijón has the most likely position - 5 (6.37%), has project points - 60, has currently - 18, has a small chance of relegated (7%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (24%), has a small chance of promoted (15%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).
This event has quality36, importance39, match rating37. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Alavés won 2.
Recent matches Alavés is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Sporting de Gijón is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Sporting de Gijón could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Alavés will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 10 head-to-head matches Alavés won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-8.
Including matches at home between the teams Alavés won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.
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