Match Info

Date: 22 August 2022, Monday

Location: Estadio El Toralín (Ponferrada)

Referee: Guzman Mansilla J. L. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	TV2 Sport


	Ponferradina		Ibiza

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.4	3.3	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.2
	2.15	3.3	3.4
	2.15	3.3	3.2
	2.22	3.44	3.5
				Watch
	2.15	3.4	3.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.22)	3.32 ↑ (3)	3.32 ↓ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ponferradina
43.5%

Draw
28.2%

Ibiza
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

31.4%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

33%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ponferradina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Ibiza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56.8%	27%	16.2%

Ponferradina - Ibiza Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Ponferradina will win (votes: 21 - 56.8%). Ibiza will win (votes: 6 - 16.2%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 27%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ponferradina: 40.8% – 72.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Ponferradina has the most likely position - 19 (5.56%), has project points - 54, has currently - 3, has a chance of relegated (21%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (14%), has a small chance of promoted (7%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Ibiza has the most likely position - 22 (7.35%), has project points - 51, has currently - 0, has a chance of relegated (27%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (11%), has a very small chance of promoted (5%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 30, importance 31, match rating 31. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Two teams are playing changeable.

Ponferradina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Ponferradina have a series of guest games.

Recently Ibiza have a series of home games.

Ponferradina will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ponferradina won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Ponferradina won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Ponferradina
Spanish LaLiga2
15.08.22	Cartagena - Ponferradina	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
06.08.22	Burgos - Ponferradina	0:0 ✺
03.08.22	Deportivo A Coruña - Ponferradina	7:1 ✺
30.07.22	Sporting de Gijón - Ponferradina	1:1 ✺
28.07.22	Ponferradina - Valladolid	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WTLTL
- UD Ibiza
Spanish LaLiga2
14.08.22	Ibiza - Granada	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
07.08.22	Ibiza - Mallorca	0:0 ✺
02.08.22	Elche - Ibiza	0:1 ✺
31.07.22	Ibiza - Tenerife	0:1 ✺
26.07.22	Ibiza - Cartagena	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
06.03.22	Ponferradina - Ibiza	1:1
Spanish Copa del Rey
15.12.21	Ponferradina - Ibiza	2:1 ET
Spanish LaLiga2
28.11.21	Ibiza - Ponferradina	0:1

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