Match Info

Date: 11 September 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadi Municipal de Can Misses (Ibiza)

Referee: Molina A. F. (Esp)


	Ibiza		Tenerife

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.2	2.7	Watch
	2.65	2.8	2.65
	2.75	2.95	2.75
	2.7	2.95	2.7
	2.85	3	2.91
				Watch
	2.71	3.13	2.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.63)	3.01 ↓ (3.1)	2.74 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ibiza
34.4%

Draw
31.2%

Tenerife
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

30.1%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

30.7%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ibiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Tenerife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.4%	60.9%	21.7%

Ibiza - Tenerife Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Ibiza will win (votes: 4 - 17.4%). Tenerife will win (votes: 5 - 21.7%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 60.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 41% – 80.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Ibiza has the most likely position - 22 (11.61%), has project points - 47, has currently - 1, has a chance of relegated (38%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (6%), has a very small chance of promoted (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Tenerife has the most likely position - 12 (5.76%), has project points - 56, has currently - 4, has a small chance of relegated (15%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (17%), has a small chance of promoted (9%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

This event has quality 31, importance 33, match rating 32. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Ibiza is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Tenerife is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tenerife could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ibiza won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Ibiza won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Ibiza
Spanish LaLiga2
04.09.22	Huesca - Ibiza	3:0 ✺
28.08.22	Ibiza - Deportivo Alavés	1:1 ✺
22.08.22	Ponferradina - Ibiza	2:1 ✺
14.08.22	Ibiza - Granada	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
07.08.22	Ibiza - Mallorca	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LTLLT
- CD Tenerife
Spanish LaLiga2
03.09.22	Tenerife - Racing Santander	1:0 ✺
27.08.22	Levante - Tenerife	2:0 ✺
21.08.22	Tenerife - Lugo	1:1 ✺
13.08.22	Eibar - Tenerife	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
06.08.22	Tenerife - Cartagena	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
31.07.22	Ibiza - Tenerife	0:1
Spanish LaLiga2
19.02.22	Tenerife - Ibiza	2:0
04.11.21	Ibiza - Tenerife	0:0

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