Match Info

Primera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 8 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadi Municipal de Can Misses (Ibiza)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Ibiza		FC Andorra

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.4	3.7
	1.82	3.4	4.05
	1.98	3.44	3.86
	1.82	3.32	4.2	Watch
	1.7	3.4	4.2
	1.85	3.54	4.34
	1.82	3.4	4.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.21)	3.41 ↑ (2.93)	4.06 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ibiza
50.4%

Draw
27%

FC Andorra
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

31.5%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

31.4%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ibiza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ibiza's performance.

FC Andorra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ibiza that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Andorra than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Ibiza - FC Andorra Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ibiza will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Andorra will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Juan Ramirez R. (G) 4. Monjonell E. 20. Indias I. 24. Albert J. 17. Medina U. (C) 6. Alvarez J. 16. Olabe R. 14. Domenech M. 15. Bebe 22. Zarzana A. 12. Dauda M.	1. Ratti N. (C) 18. Bombardo Poyato M. 20. Vila M. 24. Casadesus P. 8. Moran E. 12. Villahermosa D. 14. Molina S. 21. Cerda J. 10. Alvaro 11. Lauti 9. Nieto M.
Substitutes
11. Astals D. 13. Belman (G) 25. Chekotun A. (G) 23. Escassi A. 21. Eugeni 10. Gallar A. 8. Gori 5. Jimenez J. 18. Lopez J. 2. Matos J. 3. Molina G. 7. Quique	26. Achhiba B. 23. Alende D. 19. Almpanis C. 32. Blanco P. 3. Busquets O. 17. Clemente J. 7. Fuentes J. 5. Morgado C. 16. Pena A. 15. Redondo L. 4. Trigueros P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Bombardo Poyato M. 🟨,
36', Ratti N. 🟨,
37', Bebe (Pen),
39', Alvarez J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', Medina U. 🟨,
53', Vila M. ↓, Alende D. ↑,
54', Moran E. ↓, Rodriguez I. ↑,
57', Cerda J. 🟨,
61', Monjonell E. ↓, Gori ↑,
62', 0 - 1, Lauti ⚽,
67', Indias I. 🟨,
69', Villahermosa D. 🟨,
70', Albert J. ↓, Eugeni ↑,
70', Olabe R. ↓, Quique ↑,
70', Alvarez J. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
75', Cerda J. ↓, Redondo L. ↑,
82', Casadesus P. ↓, Pena A. ↑,
82', Bebe ↓, Lopez J. ↑,

Preview

1st leg result: 0-2. 2nd leg.

In recent matches, Ibiza has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Andorra is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Ibiza is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ibiza won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Ibiza won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Ibiza - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 41.81%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Ibiza
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
01.06.25	FC Andorra - Ibiza	2:0 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
24.05.25	Ibiza - Ceuta	5:0 ✺
17.05.25	Atlético Madrid B - Ibiza	0:0 ✺
10.05.25	Ibiza - Alcorcón	2:0 ✺
04.05.25	Recreativo Huelva - Ibiza	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWTWT
- FC Andorra
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
01.06.25	FC Andorra - Ibiza	2:0 ✺
24.05.25	Leonesa - FC Andorra	1:1 ✺
17.05.25	FC Andorra - Sestao	1:2 ✺
10.05.25	Barcelona B - FC Andorra	1:3 ✺
04.05.25	FC Andorra - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
01.06.25	FC Andorra - Ibiza	2:0
Spanish LaLiga2
18.03.23	FC Andorra - Ibiza	2:2
28.11.22	Ibiza - FC Andorra	0:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
25.04.21	Ibiza - FC Andorra	2:1
04.04.21	FC Andorra - Ibiza	1:0

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