Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 37

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadi Nacional (Andorra la Vella)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	FC Andorra		Sestao

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.4	5.75
	1.8	3.2	4
	1.75	3.45	4.5
	1.57	3.97	5.09
	1.65	3.68	4.71	Watch
	1.68	3.58	4.81
	1.71	3.55	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.67)	3.55 ↑ (3.37)	4.79 ↓ (5.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FC Andorra
54.9%

Draw
25.9%

Sestao
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

27.3%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2%

26.2%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for FC Andorra have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Sestao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Andorra than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

FC Andorra - Sestao Predictions

Users Predictions: FC Andorra will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): FC Andorra will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ratti N. (C) 17. Clemente J. 4. Trigueros P. 5. Morgado C. 20. Vila M. 10. Alvaro 12. Villahermosa D. 14. Molina S. 21. Cerda J. 11. Lauti 9. Nieto M.	13. Herrerin I. (G) 2. Alvarez J. 6. Gomez A. 5. Martinez G. 12. Barandalla M. 8. Garai G. (C) 4. Relu 17. Samperio J. 15. Bustillo M. 18. Cordoba A. 9. Aznar D.
Substitutes
26. Achhiba B. 19. Almpanis C. 18. Bombardo Poyato M. 3. Busquets O. 24. Casadesus P. 7. Fuentes J. 8. Moran E. 13. Oier (G) 16. Pena A. 15. Redondo L. 27. Rodriguez I. 22. Royo M.	23. Efremov A. 11. Etxaniz J. 22. Etxeberria M. 14. Garcia S. 1. Garrido J. (G) 21. Miranda A. 7. Planas A. 19. Rojo J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Alvarez J. (Own goal),
44', Morgado C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
72', Morgado C. ↓, Royo M. ↑,
72', Villahermosa D. ↓, Pena A. ↑,
72', Samperio J. ↓, Garcia S. ↑,
75', 1 - 1, Bustillo M. ⚽,
80', 1 - 2, Garcia S. ⚽,
85', Clemente J. ↓, Moran E. ↑,
85', Vila M. ↓, Fuentes J. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Andorra is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sestao has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Andorra is the team to beat.

We predict that Andorra will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Andorra won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Andorra
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
10.05.25	Barcelona B - FC Andorra	1:3 ✺
04.05.25	FC Andorra - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:0 ✺
26.04.25	Osasuna B - FC Andorra	0:1 ✺
20.04.25	FC Andorra - Gimnástica Segoviana	5:1 ✺
13.04.25	Real Sociedad B - FC Andorra	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWWL
- Sestao River
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
11.05.25	Sestao - Gimnástica Segoviana	1:2 ✺
04.05.25	Unionistas de Salamanca - Sestao	0:0 ✺
27.04.25	Sestao - Ourense CF	2:2 ✺
19.04.25	Barakaldo - Sestao	2:3 ✺
13.04.25	Barcelona B - Sestao	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
21.09.24	Sestao - FC Andorra	0:1

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