Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 38

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadi Municipal de Can Misses (Ibiza)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV, IB3


	Ibiza		Ceuta

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.4	4.5
	1.61	3.3	5.25
	1.74	3.35	4.8
	1.65	3.45	6.15
	1.7	3.31	5.09	Watch
	1.67	3.68	4.75
	1.74	3.35	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.95)	3.41 ↑ (3.1)	5.05 ↑ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ibiza
54.7%

Draw
27%

Ceuta
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

29.2%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

30.4%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ibiza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ibiza's performance.

Ceuta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ceuta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ibiza that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ceuta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ibiza - Ceuta Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ibiza (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Juan Ramirez R. (G) 3. Molina G. 20. Indias I. 23. Escassi A. (C) 24. Albert J. 14. Domenech M. 6. Alvarez J. 18. Lopez J. 8. Gori 15. Bebe 9. Davo	13. Vallejo G. (G) 23. Almenara G. 14. Lopez B. 6. Hernandez C. 15. Guzman J. 8. Zalazar K. 10. Rodriguez C. 5. Bellotti M. 28. Aniekan B. 21. Lopez J. 11. Aquino D.
Substitutes
13. Belman (G) 25. Chekotun A. (G) 12. Dauda M. 21. Eugeni 5. Jimenez J. 2. Matos J. 4. Monjonell E. 16. Olabe R. 7. Quique 22. Zarzana A.	7. Ahmed A. 25. Cantero Y. 4. Caparros A. 20. Escudero A. 12. Herranz Corral V. 19. Jamelli 22. Kone K. 1. Lopez P. (G) 16. Redruello Nimo C. 9. Rodri 3. Youness

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Davo ⚽,
21', 2 - 0, Bebe ⚽,
39', Davo ↓, Quique ↑,
41', 3 - 0, Albert J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Alvarez J. ↓, Zarzana A. ↑,
46', Bebe ↓, Eugeni ↑,
54', 4 - 0, Quique ⚽,
59', Hernandez C. ↓, Caparros A. ↑,
59', Aniekan B. ↓, Herranz Corral V. ↑,
59', Lopez J. ↓, Kone K. ↑,
59', Aquino D. ↓, Rodri ↑,
66', 5 - 0, Lopez J. ⚽,
71', Juan Ramirez R. ↓, Chekotun A. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2).

Ibiza is Qualified for Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs

Ceuta is Confirmed as championsnQualified for LaLiga2

Ibiza is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ceuta is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Ibiza is considered a favorite.

We predict that Ibiza will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ibiza won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1.3:2).

Including home match between the teams, Ibiza won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Ibiza
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
17.05.25	Atlético Madrid B - Ibiza	0:0 ✺
10.05.25	Ibiza - Alcorcón	2:0 ✺
04.05.25	Recreativo Huelva - Ibiza	0:0 ✺
27.04.25	Ibiza - Fuenlabrada	2:1 ✺
18.04.25	Ibiza - Sevilla B	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TWTWW
- AD Ceuta
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
17.05.25	Ceuta - Yeclano Deportivo	0:0 ✺
11.05.25	Fuenlabrada - Ceuta	1:2 ✺
03.05.25	Ceuta - Mérida AD	1:0 ✺
27.04.25	Real Madrid Castilla - Ceuta	0:1 ✺
19.04.25	Ceuta - Marbella	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
08.12.24	Ceuta - Ibiza	3:1
24.03.24	Ibiza - Ceuta	1:2
03.12.23	Ceuta - Ibiza	0:1
Spanish Copa del Rey
21.12.22	Ceuta - Ibiza	3:2

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