Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 6

Date: 1 October 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadi Municipal de Can Misses (Ibiza)


	Ibiza		Linares Deportivo

	1	X	2
	1.45	3.8	5.75
	1.44	3.9	6
	1.47	4	6.5	Watch
	1.49	4.07	7.11
	1.45	4.1	6.75
	1.45	3.95	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (2.02)	3.97 ↑ (3.1)	6.39 ↑ (3.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ibiza
62.7%

Draw
23%

Linares Deportivo
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

29.7%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

29.2%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ibiza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ibiza's performance.

Linares Deportivo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Linares Deportivo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (-16.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ibiza that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Linares Deportivo than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Linares Deportivo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ibiza - Linares Deportivo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Sequeira P. (G) 17. Medina U. 23. Escassi A. (C) 3. Olaortua I. 5. Jimenez J. 19. Soko P. 16. Olabe R. 21. Eugeni 14. Gallar A. 18. Omoigui C. 9. Obolskiy N.	13. Casado S. (G) 18. Perejon D. 5. Rentero J. 4. Molina M. 3. Varela F. 15. Duarte J. 6. Moreno A. 21. Llorente R. 27. Oyon A. 10. Sanchez M. 7. Diaz H. (C)
Substitutes
11. Abde 6. Alvarez J. 2. Arguelles D. 20. Arroyo R. 7. Camara S. 1. Fabricio (G) 8. Fausto A. 10. Jamelli 12. Neskes 25. Rial X.	11. Berlanga M. 14. Corral S. 1. Juskevicius E. (G) 12. Marin A. 9. Mena P. 19. Ortuno F. 20. Sutherland T.

Preview

Ibiza is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Linares is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ibiza could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ibiza is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Ibiza
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
23.09.23	Atlético Madrid B - Ibiza	1:1 ✺
10.09.23	Alcoyano - Ibiza	0:2 ✺
02.09.23	Ibiza - Atlético Baleares	1:0 ✺
27.08.23	Córdoba - Ibiza	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
17.08.23	Ibiza - Sabadell	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 TWWWL
- Linares Deportivo
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
24.09.23	Linares Deportivo - Málaga	0:1 ✺
16.09.23	Córdoba - Linares Deportivo	0:1 ✺
09.09.23	Linares Deportivo - Real Madrid Castilla	2:1 ✺
02.09.23	Linares Deportivo - Granada B	0:0 ✺
26.08.23	Mérida AD - Linares Deportivo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LWWTL

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