Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 3

Date: 9 September 2023, Saturday


	Linares Deportivo		Real Madrid Castilla

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.2	2.45
	2.65	3.2	2.4
	2.76	3.33	2.53
	2.77	3.2	2.49
	2.75	3.1	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↓ (3.25)	3.21 ↑ (3.1)	2.46 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Linares Deportivo
33.8%

Draw
28.7%

Real Madrid Castilla
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.2%

29.6%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

28.5%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Linares Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Linares Deportivo's performance.

Real Madrid Castilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Linares Deportivo than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Linares Deportivo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Madrid Castilla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Linares Deportivo - Real Madrid Castilla Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Real Madrid Castilla will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Casado S. (G) 18. Perejon D. 5. Rentero J. 4. Molina M. 3. Varela F. 9. Mena P. 8. Rodri 21. Llorente R. 15. Duarte J. 10. Sanchez M. 14. Corral S.	1. Canizares L. (G) 2. Jimenez D. 25. Ramon J. 16. Asencio R. 3. Obrador R. 20. Angel M. 8. Zidane T. 23. Munoz V. 10. Paz N. 22. Palacios C. 17. Garcia G.
Substitutes
11. Berlanga M. 2. Bonnin T. 30. Carrillo M. 7. Diaz H. 1. Juskevicius E. (G) 12. Marin A. 6. Moreno A. 19. Ortuno F. 31. Oyon A. 28. Suarez L. 20. Sutherland T.	24. de Luis M. (G) 14. Gonzalez Ballesteros D. 11. Gonzalez P. 7. Lopez N. 33. Ribes Q. 27. Ruiz D. 31. Ruiz F.

Preview

Recent matches Linares is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Real Madrid Castilla is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Real Madrid Castilla have a series of home games.

Real Madrid Castilla will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Linares won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Linares won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Linares Deportivo
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
02.09.23	Linares Deportivo - Granada B	0:0 ✺
26.08.23	Mérida AD - Linares Deportivo	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
19.08.23	Linares Deportivo - Córdoba	0:1 ✺
16.08.23	Villarrobledo - Linares Deportivo	0:1 ✺
29.07.23	Linares Deportivo - Betis B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLLWT
- Real Madrid Castilla
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
03.09.23	Antequera - Real Madrid Castilla	1:2 ✺
27.08.23	Real Madrid Castilla - Melilla	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
20.08.23	Real Madrid Castilla - Rayo Majadahonda	3:0 ✺
16.08.23	Real Madrid Castilla - Unionistas de Salamanca	0:0 ✺
12.08.23	Real Madrid Castilla - Fuenlabrada	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
19.02.23	Real Madrid Castilla - Linares Deportivo	2:0
27.11.22	Linares Deportivo - Real Madrid Castilla	0:2
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
27.02.22	Real Madrid Castilla - Linares Deportivo	4:1
28.11.21	Linares Deportivo - Real Madrid Castilla	1:0

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