Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 5

Date: 24 September 2023, Sunday


	Linares Deportivo		Málaga

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.25	1.8
	4.2	3.3	1.85
	4.38	3.37	1.85
	4.33	3.36	1.81
	4.1	3.3	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.27 ↑ (3.35)	3.32 ↑ (3.1)	1.82 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Linares Deportivo
21.6%

Draw
27.8%

Málaga
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

29.5%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

28.7%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Linares Deportivo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Linares Deportivo's form might have worsened.

Málaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Málaga's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Linares Deportivo than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Málaga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Linares Deportivo - Málaga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Casado S. (G) 18. Perejon D. 5. Rentero J. 4. Molina M. 3. Varela F. 21. Llorente R. 6. Moreno A. 15. Duarte J. 8. Rodri 20. Sutherland T. 14. Corral S.	1. Herrero A. (G) 2. Gabilondo J. 20. Monte N. 5. Juande 14. Garcia V. 23. Sangalli L. 16. Rodriguez G. 22. Lorenzo D. 17. Dioni 19. Fernandez Jaen R. 11. Villodres K.
Substitutes
11. Berlanga M. 2. Bonnin T. 30. Carrillo M. 7. Diaz H. 1. Juskevicius E. (G) 12. Marin A. 9. Mena P. 19. Ortuno F. 27. Oyon A. 28. Suarez L.	4. Galilea E. 21. Hernandez Garcia J. 8. Juanpe 10. Larrubia D. 13. Lopez C. (G) 12. Molina M. . Moussa D. 25. Murillo D. 3. Ouacharaf B. 18. Sanchez D. 9. Zuniga L.

Preview

Recent matches Linares is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Málaga is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Linares could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Málaga is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Linares Deportivo
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
16.09.23	Córdoba - Linares Deportivo	0:1 ✺
09.09.23	Linares Deportivo - Real Madrid Castilla	2:1 ✺
02.09.23	Linares Deportivo - Granada B	0:0 ✺
26.08.23	Mérida AD - Linares Deportivo	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
19.08.23	Linares Deportivo - Córdoba	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWTLL
- Málaga CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
16.09.23	Málaga - Granada B	3:0 ✺
10.09.23	Atlético Baleares - Málaga	1:2 ✺
02.09.23	Málaga - Atlético Madrid B	2:1 ✺
26.08.23	Castellón - Málaga	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
19.08.23	Estepona - Málaga	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWLW

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