Match Info

Paulista U20 - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Ibrachina U20		Capivariano U20

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.33	7.75
	1.32	4.25	7.6	Watch
	1.34	4.39	7.16
	1.37	4.37	7.5	Watch
	1.32	4.3	7.05
	1.29	4.33	9.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.61)	4.33 ↑ (3.5)	7.81 ↑ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ibrachina U20
67.7%

Draw
20.8%

Capivariano U20
11.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.7%

25.6%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

26.6%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ibrachina U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ibrachina U20's performance.

Capivariano U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Capivariano U20 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ibrachina U20 than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ibrachina U20 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Capivariano U20 than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Capivariano U20 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ibrachina U20 - Capivariano U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
70', (Penalty Awarded),
90+3', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

First leg result: 1-2.

The table topper faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Paulista U20 Playoffs - 1/16 - finals and 7th in the Promotion - Paulista U20 Playoffs - 1/16 - finals).

Ibrachina U20 has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Capivariano U20 is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Ibrachina U20 carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Ibrachina U20 has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:2 (averaging 1:1 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ibrachina FC U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
10.10.26	Capivariano U20 - Ibrachina U20	2:1 ✺
26.09.26	Ibrachina U20 - Sporting Paulinense U20	3:1 ✺
21.09.26	Sporting Paulinense U20 - Ibrachina U20	2:2 ✺
12.09.26	Ibrachina U20 - São Caetano U20	4:0 ✺
04.09.26	Piracicaba U20 - Ibrachina U20	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWTWT
- Capivariano U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
10.10.26	Capivariano U20 - Ibrachina U20	2:1 ✺
25.09.26	Água Santa U20 - Capivariano U20	0:2 penalties ✺
19.09.26	Capivariano U20 - Água Santa U20	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Capivariano U20 - Tanabi U20	1:1 ✺
04.09.26	Mauá U20 - Capivariano U20	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Paulista U20
10.10.26	Capivariano U20 - Ibrachina U20	2:1
18.07.25	Capivariano U20 - Ibrachina U20	0:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Capivariano U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
30.10.26	Red Bull Bragantino U20 - Capivariano U20	✺

Ibrachina U20 - Capivariano U20