Match Info

Paulista U20 - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday


	Ibrachina U20		Sporting Paulinense U20

	1	X	2
	1.23	5.25	10.50
	1.15	5.7	11.5
	1.19	5.73	10.38
	1.23	5.6	10	Watch
	1.18	5.5	10
	1.22	6.14	10.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↓ (1.3)	5.65 ↑ (4.5)	10.41 ↑ (8.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ibrachina U20
75.3%

Draw
16%

Sporting Paulinense U20
8.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.4%

20%

10.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.5%

18.9%

10%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ibrachina U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ibrachina U20's performance.

Sporting Paulinense U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ibrachina U20 than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Paulinense U20 than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Ibrachina U20 - Sporting Paulinense U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, ⚽,
28', 2 - 0, ⚽,
43', 3 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

First leg result: 2-2.

The table topper faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 1st in the Promotion ~ Paulista U20 Playoffs1/16~finals) and 10th in the Promotion ~ Paulista U20 Playoffs1/16~finals)).

In recent outings, Ibrachina U20 has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Paulinense U20 is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Ibrachina U20 may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Ibrachina U20 holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Ibrachina U20 has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:2 (averaging 1.5:1 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ibrachina FC U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
21.09.26	Sporting Paulinense U20 - Ibrachina U20	2:2 ✺
12.09.26	Ibrachina U20 - São Caetano U20	4:0 ✺
04.09.26	Piracicaba U20 - Ibrachina U20	0:0 ✺
21.08.26	Ibrachina U20 - Desportivo Brasil U20	3:0 ✺
16.08.26	São Paulo U20 - Ibrachina U20	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TWTWL
- Sporting Paulinense U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
21.09.26	Sporting Paulinense U20 - Ibrachina U20	2:2 ✺
04.09.26	Sporting Paulinense U20 - Grêmio Novorizontino U20	1:4 ✺
20.08.26	São Paulo U20 - Sporting Paulinense U20	2:0 ✺
14.08.26	CA Bandeirante U20 - Sporting Paulinense U20	2:1 ✺
11.08.26	Sporting Paulinense U20 - União São João U20	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Paulista U20
21.09.26	Sporting Paulinense U20 - Ibrachina U20	2:2
07.08.26	Sporting Paulinense U20 - Ibrachina U20	0:1

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