Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista U20 - Third stage - Round 19

Date: 29 August 2024, Thursday


	Ibrachina U20		Corinthians U20

	1	X	2
	2.31	3.19	2.7
	2.35	3.33	2.76	Watch
	2.5	3.2	2.5
	2.3	3.34	2.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (3.04)	3.27 ↓ (3.5)	2.66 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ibrachina U20
38.3%

Draw
27.7%

Corinthians U20
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

26.2%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

27.1%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ibrachina U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ibrachina U20's performance.

Corinthians U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Corinthians U20 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ibrachina U20 than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ibrachina U20 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians U20 than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Corinthians U20 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ibrachina U20 - Corinthians U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Eduardo L. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', 1 - 1, Cardoso P. ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 1, Florencio W. ⚽,

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Ibrachina U20 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Corinthians U20 have a series of home games.

Corinthians U20 will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ibrachina FC U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
22.08.24	Ibrachina U20 - Ferroviaria U20	3:0 ✺
09.08.24	Ibrachina U20 - Guarani U20	0:2 ✺
02.08.24	Piracicaba U20 - Ibrachina U20	2:3 ✺
23.07.24	Botafogo SP U20 - Ibrachina U20	1:2 ✺
18.07.24	Ibrachina U20 - Botafogo SP U20	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLWWL
- Corinthians U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
24.08.24	Corinthians U20 - José Bonifácio U20	2:1 ✺
Brasileiro U20
21.08.24	Athletico Paranaense U20 - Corinthians U20	5:0 ✺
14.08.24	Corinthians U20 - Atletico GO U20	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Paulista U20
10.08.24	Corinthians U20 - XV de Jaú U20	1:1 ✺
Brasileiro U20
07.08.24	Corinthians U20 - Atlético Mineiro U20	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLWTL

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