Match Info

Paulista U20 - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 26 September 2025, Friday


	Ibrachina U20		Ferroviaria U20

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.65	3.6
	1.68	3.71	3.89
	2.12	2.59	4.39	Watch
	1.84	3.78	3.44
	1.85	3.65	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (1.95)	3.48 ↓ (3.65)	3.71 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ibrachina U20
49.2%

Draw
26.2%

Ferroviaria U20
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

24.7%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

22.7%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ibrachina U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Ferroviaria U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ibrachina U20 than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviaria U20 than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Ibrachina U20 - Ferroviaria U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Penalties (3 - 4)
1, (Pen),
1, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
5, (Pen),
5, (Pen),

Preview

1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.

Ibrachina U20 is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ferroviaria U20 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ibrachina U20 could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ibrachina U20 won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Ibrachina U20 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ibrachina FC U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
19.09.25	Ferroviaria U20 - Ibrachina U20	0:0 ✺
12.09.25	Ibrachina U20 - Grêmio Osasco Audax U20	6:0 ✺
05.09.25	Grêmio Osasco Audax U20 - Ibrachina U20	0:4 ✺
12.08.25	Ibrachina U20 - CA Bandeirante U20	4:0 ✺
06.08.25	Flamengo de Guarulhos U20 - Ibrachina U20	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TWWWW
- Ferroviária U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
19.09.25	Ferroviaria U20 - Ibrachina U20	0:0 ✺
12.09.25	Ferroviaria U20 - Mirassol U20	4:2 ✺
05.09.25	Mirassol U20 - Ferroviaria U20	2:2 ✺
12.08.25	Ferroviaria U20 - EC São Bernardo U20	2:1 ✺
06.08.25	Sfera U20 - Ferroviaria U20	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Paulista U20
19.09.25	Ferroviaria U20 - Ibrachina U20	0:0
06.09.24	Ferroviaria U20 - Ibrachina U20	1:1
22.08.24	Ibrachina U20 - Ferroviaria U20	3:0

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