Match Info

1. Lig - Round 30

Date: 12 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Iğdır Şehir Stadyumu (Iğdır)

Referee: Kayatepe A. D. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Igdirspor		Bodrumspor

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.4	3.2	Watch
	1.95	3.49	3.4
	2.11	3.72	3.49
	2	3.64	3.39	Watch
	2.05	3.4	3.3
	1.92	3.44	3.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.95)	3.52 ↑ (3.5)	3.38 ↓ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Igdirspor
46.3%

Draw
26.3%

Bodrumspor
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

26.4%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

25.7%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Igdirspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Bodrumspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Igdirspor than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bodrumspor than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	8.3%	25%

Igdirspor - Bodrumspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Igdirspor will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Bodrumspor will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Igdirspor: 40% – 93.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Igdirspor (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Igdirspor (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Igdirspor (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Bolat S. (C) 61. Asan S. 2. Yalcin R. 3. Tsunami 4. Selvi A. 35. Cankaya A. R. 23. Guneren A. K. 17. Engin A. 10. Loshaj F. 20. Mendes R. 9. Bruno G.	32. Tosun B. (G) 27. Yilmaz M. 15. Ajeti Ar. 34. Aytemur A. (C) 77. Sen C. 20. Sertkaya Y. 11. Imeri O. 8. Erdilman M. 21. Aslan A. 99. Seferi T. 90. Habesoglu A.
Substitutes
21. Erdogan D. 15. Ergul T. 7. Fofana M. 58. Kaya G. 55. Koita F. 36. Ozcan O. 5. Ozturk A. 54. Tepe T. (G) 77. Vural G.	35. Apaydin F. 70. Bilsel E. 10. Brazao P. 55. Demir B. (G) 18. Obekpa G. 91. Ogruce E. 9. Osman H. 26. Potuk A. 25. Turk A. 17. Yavuzay B.
Coaches
Kocak K.	Yilmaz S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', Bruno G. 🟨,
18', 0 - 1, Seferi T. (Penalty Awarded),
40', Tsunami 🟨,
45+4', Selvi A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
50', Aslan A. 🟨,
51', Bolat S. 🟨,
54', 1 - 1, Bruno G. (Penalty Awarded),
56', 1 - 2, Aslan A. ⚽, Sen C. (A),
60', Erdilman M. 🟨,
60', Guneren A. K. ↓, Ergul T. ↑,
60', Engin A. ↓, Fofana M. ↑,
63', 1 - 3, Imeri O. ⚽, Aslan A. (A),
70', Sen C. ↓, Apaydin F. ↑,
70', Imeri O. ↓, Brazao P. ↑,
70', Cankaya A. R. ↓, Koita F. ↑,
77', Selvi A. ↓, Vural G. ↑,
77', Loshaj F. ↓, Kaya G. ↑,
83', Erdilman M. ↓, Bilsel E. ↑,
85', Sertkaya Y. 🟨,
90', Habesoglu A. ↓, Osman H. ↑,
90', Seferi T. ↓, Potuk A. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 3, Tsunami ⚽, Kaya G. (A),

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 8 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))

Igdirspor has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bodrumspor has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Igdirspor has had a series of away games.

In this match, Igdirspor is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Igdirspor won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Igdir FK	8	5	1	2	12:7	5	16
14	Bodrumspor	8	1	5	2	7:6	1	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Igdirspor
Turkish First League
08.03.26	Boluspor - Igdirspor	2:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
05.03.26	Bodrumspor - Igdirspor	0:0 ✺
Turkish First League
27.02.26	İstanbulspor - Igdirspor	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	Igdirspor - Erokspor	0:3 ✺
17.02.26	Hatayspor - Igdirspor	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTWLW
- Bodrumspor
Turkish First League
08.03.26	Bodrumspor - Erokspor	3:4 ✺
Turkish Cup
05.03.26	Bodrumspor - Igdirspor	0:0 ✺
Turkish First League
28.02.26	Hatayspor - Bodrumspor	1:3 ✺
22.02.26	Bodrumspor - Manisa FK	1:2 ✺
19.02.26	Vanspor - Bodrumspor	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Cup
05.03.26	Bodrumspor - Igdirspor	0:0
Turkish First League
26.10.25	Bodrumspor - Igdirspor	2:0

Upcoming Matches