Match Info

Turkish Cup - Round 4

Date: 5 March 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Bodrum İlçe Stadı (Bodrum) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Turtay O. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Austria	18:30	A Spor
Turkey	20:30	A2 TV, A Spor


	Bodrumspor		Igdirspor

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.9	1.7
	4.25	3.69	1.76
	4.13	3.82	1.78
	4.04	4.02	1.76	Watch
	3.9	3.6	1.73
	3.86	4.07	1.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.98 ↑ (2.46)	3.85 ↑ (3.36)	1.75 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bodrumspor
23.2%

Draw
24%

Igdirspor
52.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.6%

27.5%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

27.4%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bodrumspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bodrumspor's form might have worsened.

Igdirspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Igdirspor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bodrumspor than the current prediction. (+14.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bodrumspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Igdirspor than the current prediction. (-17.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Igdirspor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Bodrumspor - Igdirspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Bodrumspor will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Igdirspor will win (votes: 14 - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Igdirspor: 71.3% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Bodrumspor (2.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Igdirspor (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Igdirspor will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Bodrumspor (votes: 2 - 25%). Igdirspor (votes: 6 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
54. Adiyaman R. (G) 27. Yilmaz M. 35. Apaydin F. 91. Ogruce E. 18. Obekpa G. 30. Tarhan Y. 8. Erdilman M. 19. Astanakulov S. 25. Turk A. 26. Potuk A. (C) 9. Osman H.	26. Bolat S. (G) 61. Asan S. 35. Cankaya A. R. 4. Selvi A. 67. Akkus D. 15. Ergul T. 6. Guctekin O. K. 20. Mendes R. 8. Bacuna L. 23. Guneren A. K. 9. Bruno G.
Substitutes
37. Arkutcu E. 70. Bilsel E. 55. Demir B. (G) 11. Imeri O. 88. Safak P. 20. Sertkaya Y. 83. Sogancioglu O. 85. Utku Emre K. 82. Uzunyakup E.	98. Akyuz M. (G) 73. Ay Saritas D. 69. Eray Y. 71. Keser B. 10. Loshaj F. 65. Sobaz O. O.
Coaches
Eser B.	Kocak K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Erdilman M. ↓, Bilsel E. ↑,
46', Akkus D. ↓, Loshaj F. ↑,
63', Turk A. ↓, Imeri O. ↑,
63', Astanakulov S. ↓, Sertkaya Y. ↑,
70', Bruno G. 🟨,
75', Potuk A. ↓, Arkutcu E. ↑,
86', Mendes R. ↓, Sobaz O. O. ↑,
86', Bacuna L. ↓, Keser B. ↑,
89', Osman H. ↓, Safak P. ↑,
90+1', Cankaya A. R. 🟨,
90+2', Ergul T. ↓, Ay Saritas D. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 7 and 4).

Bodrumspor has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Igdirspor is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Igdirspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bodrumspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Including home match between the teams, Bodrumspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Bodrumspor - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 37.57%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bodrumspor
Turkish First League
28.02.26	Hatayspor - Bodrumspor	1:3 ✺
22.02.26	Bodrumspor - Manisa FK	1:2 ✺
19.02.26	Vanspor - Bodrumspor	3:1 ✺
14.02.26	Bodrumspor - Keçiörengücü	4:3 ✺
08.02.26	Adana Demirspor - Bodrumspor	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLLWW
- Igdirspor
Turkish First League
27.02.26	İstanbulspor - Igdirspor	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	Igdirspor - Erokspor	0:3 ✺
17.02.26	Hatayspor - Igdirspor	0:2 ✺
13.02.26	Igdirspor - Umraniyespor	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Serik Belediyespor - Igdirspor	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
26.10.25	Bodrumspor - Igdirspor	2:0

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