Match Info

Serie D - Group I - Round 19

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	Igea Virtus Barcellona		Milazzo

	1	X	2
	2.28	3.4	2.68
	2.09	3.26	3.26	Watch
	2.08	3.18	3.27
	2.08	3.2	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.28)	3.26 ↓ (3.4)	3.12 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Igea Virtus Barcellona
42.8%

Draw
28%

Milazzo
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

26.6%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

26%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Igea Virtus Barcellona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Milazzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Igea Virtus Barcellona than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milazzo than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Igea Virtus Barcellona - Milazzo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Igea Virtus (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+9', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
89', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: ) and 6).

Igea Virtus is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Milazzo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Igea Virtus may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Igea Virtus is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Igea Virtus	6	3	2	1	14:11	3	11
8	Milazzo	6	3	0	3	5:8	-3	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Igea Virtus Barcellona
Italian Serie D - Group I
04.01.26	Sancataldese - Igea Virtus Barcellona	0:3 ✺
21.12.25	Igea Virtus Barcellona - Vigor Lamezia	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	ACR Messina - Igea Virtus Barcellona	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Igea Virtus Barcellona - Savoia	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Vibonese - Igea Virtus Barcellona	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WTLWW
- Milazzo
Italian Serie D - Group I
03.01.26	Milazzo - Nissa	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Milazzo - ACR Messina	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	Reggina - Milazzo	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Sambiase - Milazzo	0:1 ✺
30.11.25	Milazzo - Paternò	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TTLWW

Igea Virtus Barcellona - Milazzo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide