Match Info

Serie D - Group I - Round 17

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday


	Igea Virtus Barcellona		Vigor Lamezia

	1	X	2
	2.18	3.4	2.78
	2.19	3.46	2.88	Watch
	2.24	3.4	2.84
	2.2	3.3	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.21)	3.39 ↑ (3.39)	2.85 ↑ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Igea Virtus Barcellona
41.3%

Draw
26.8%

Vigor Lamezia
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

26.8%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

25.6%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Igea Virtus Barcellona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Vigor Lamezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Igea Virtus Barcellona than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vigor Lamezia than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Igea Virtus Barcellona - Vigor Lamezia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Samake B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
89', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: ) and 11).

Igea Virtus has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Vigor Lamezia is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Igea Virtus Barcellona
Italian Serie D - Group I
14.12.25	ACR Messina - Igea Virtus Barcellona	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Igea Virtus Barcellona - Savoia	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Vibonese - Igea Virtus Barcellona	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Igea Virtus Barcellona - Ragusa	0:0 ✺
16.11.25	Castrumfavara - Igea Virtus Barcellona	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LWWTT
- Vigor Lamezia
Italian Serie D - Group I
14.12.25	Vigor Lamezia - Sancataldese	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	ACR Messina - Vigor Lamezia	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Savoia - Vigor Lamezia	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Vigor Lamezia - Milazzo	0:1 ✺
16.11.25	Vibonese - Vigor Lamezia	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLLL

Igea Virtus Barcellona - Vigor Lamezia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide