Match Info

Serie D - Round 7

Date: 30 May 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Antonio Moreno de Mello (Iguatu) 🌤️ ...


	Iguatu		Maranhão

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	3.45
	2.38	3.07	2.79
	1.97	3.33	3.57	Watch
	2.07	3.13	3.39
	2.15	3.05	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (2.02)	3.14 ↓ (3.25)	3.24 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iguatu
42.9%

Draw
29%

Maranhão
28.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.6%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

28.1%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iguatu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Maranhão has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iguatu than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maranhão than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Iguatu - Maranhão Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Iguatu (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Leozinho ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
67', Thalison 🟥,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 5).

Iguatu is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Maranhão's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Iguatu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Iguatu could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Iguatu
Brazilian Serie D
24.05.25	Tocantinópolis - Iguatu	1:1 ✺
17.05.25	Iguatu - Altos	2:3 ✺
10.05.25	Iguatu - Parnahyba	3:0 ✺
04.05.25	Maracanã - Iguatu	1:0 ✺
26.04.25	Imperatriz de Desportos - Iguatu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TLWLL
- Maranhão AC
Brazilian Serie D
24.05.25	Maranhão - Parnahyba	1:1 ✺
21.05.25	Sampaio Corrêa - Maranhão	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Maranhense
17.05.25	Maranhão - Imperatriz de Desportos	2:0 ✺
14.05.25	Imperatriz de Desportos - Maranhão	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
10.05.25	Maranhão - Tocantinópolis	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TTWTL

Iguatu - Maranhão

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Iguatu - Maranhão Predictions

Key Events of the Match

Preview

Form

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