Match Info

Serie D - Round 6

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio Governador João Castelo (São Luís)


	Maranhão		Parnahyba

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.5	5.6
	1.57	3.4	5.63
	1.57	3.52	5.93	Watch
	1.59	3.4	5.69
	1.58	3.5	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.79)	3.46 ↑ (3.2)	5.69 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maranhão
57.7%

Draw
26.3%

Parnahyba
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

28.2%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

26.9%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maranhão has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maranhão's performance.

Parnahyba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Parnahyba might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maranhão than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parnahyba than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Maranhão - Parnahyba Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Xilu ⚽,
39', 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', 1 - 1, Nascimento J. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 8).

In recent matches, Maranhão has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Parnahyba has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Parnahyba may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Maranhão is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Maranhão won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:0. (average 3.5:0).

Including home match between the teams, Maranhão won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maranhão AC
Brazilian Serie D
21.05.25	Sampaio Corrêa - Maranhão	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Maranhense
17.05.25	Maranhão - Imperatriz de Desportos	2:0 ✺
14.05.25	Imperatriz de Desportos - Maranhão	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
10.05.25	Maranhão - Tocantinópolis	2:3 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Maranhense
07.05.25	IAPE - Maranhão	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TWTLL
- Parnahyba
Brazilian Serie D
18.05.25	Parnahyba - Maracanã	3:2 ✺
10.05.25	Iguatu - Parnahyba	3:0 ✺
04.05.25	Parnahyba - Altos	0:2 ✺
26.04.25	Sampaio Corrêa - Parnahyba	1:0 ✺
20.04.25	Parnahyba - Imperatriz de Desportos	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
02.07.23	Parnahyba - Maranhão	0:3
27.05.23	Maranhão - Parnahyba	4:0

Maranhão - Parnahyba: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide