Match Info

Serie D - Play Offs - 1/32-finals

Date: 27 June 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Antonio Moreno de Mello (Iguatu) 🌤️ ...


	Iguatu		Tuna Luso Brasileira

	1	X	2
	1.80	3.20	3.90
	1.66	3.35	4.70
	1.82	3.25	4.36
	1.85	3.15	4.35	Watch
	1.80	3.15	4.30
	1.88	3.24	4.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.7)	3.22 ↓ (3.3)	4.33 ↓ (5.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iguatu
50.6%

Draw
28.3%

Tuna Luso Brasileira
21.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54%

27.8%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

27.1%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iguatu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Tuna Luso Brasileira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iguatu than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tuna Luso Brasileira than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Iguatu - Tuna Luso Brasileira Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Matheus Lima (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
89', 1 - 1, Warian ⚽,

Preview

First leg result: 2-1.

Iguatu is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

In recent matches, Tuna Luso has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Iguatu has had a series of away games.

In this match, Iguatu is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Iguatu won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Iguatu
Brazilian Serie D
21.06.26	Tuna Luso Brasileira - Iguatu	1:2 ✺
07.06.26	Sampaio Corrêa - Iguatu	0:1 ✺
30.05.26	Iguatu - Parnahyba	2:2 ✺
23.05.26	IAPE - Iguatu	1:1 ✺
16.05.26	Maracanã - Iguatu	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WWTTT
- Tuna Luso Brasileira
Brazilian Serie D
21.06.26	Tuna Luso Brasileira - Iguatu	1:2 ✺
06.06.26	Imperatriz de Desportos - Tuna Luso Brasileira	4:0 ✺
31.05.26	Tuna Luso Brasileira - Trem	1:0 ✺
24.05.26	Oratório - Tuna Luso Brasileira	3:3 ✺
17.05.26	Tuna Luso Brasileira - Águia de Marabá	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
21.06.26	Tuna Luso Brasileira - Iguatu	1:2

Iguatu - Tuna Luso Brasileira