Match Info

Serie D - Play Offs - 1/32-finals

Date: 21 June 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estádio Francisco Vasques (Belem) 🌤️ ...


	Tuna Luso Brasileira		Iguatu

	1	X	2
	2.37	2.85	2.87
	2.43	3.05	2.70
	2.49	2.94	3.00
	2.6	2.62	3.11	Watch
	2.40	2.62	2.90
	2.46	2.89	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↓ (2.57)	2.83 ↓ (2.9)	2.96 ↑ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tuna Luso Brasileira
37%

Draw
32.2%

Iguatu
30.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.3%

31.3%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

33.2%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tuna Luso Brasileira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Iguatu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tuna Luso Brasileira than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iguatu than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Tuna Luso Brasileira - Iguatu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Alves J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', 1 - 1, Otacilio Marcos ⚽,
79', 1 - 2, Neto J. ⚽,

Preview

First leg.

Recent performances by Tuna Luso have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Iguatu is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Tuna Luso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tuna Luso Brasileira
Brazilian Serie D
06.06.26	Imperatriz de Desportos - Tuna Luso Brasileira	4:0 ✺
31.05.26	Tuna Luso Brasileira - Trem	1:0 ✺
24.05.26	Oratório - Tuna Luso Brasileira	3:3 ✺
17.05.26	Tuna Luso Brasileira - Águia de Marabá	2:1 ✺
10.05.26	Tuna Luso Brasileira - Tocantinópolis	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWTWL
- AD Iguatu
Brazilian Serie D
07.06.26	Sampaio Corrêa - Iguatu	0:1 ✺
30.05.26	Iguatu - Parnahyba	2:2 ✺
23.05.26	IAPE - Iguatu	1:1 ✺
16.05.26	Maracanã - Iguatu	1:1 ✺
10.05.26	Iguatu - Moto Club de São Luís	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WTTTW

Tuna Luso Brasileira - Iguatu

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Tuna Luso Brasileira - Iguatu Predictions

Key Events of the Match

Preview

Form

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