Match Info

NPFL - Round 25

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Mobolaji Johnson Arena (Lagos)

Where to Watch on TV:


Nigeria	NPFL Live


	Ikorodu City		Niger Tornadoes

	1	X	2
	1.41	3.7	7.7
	1.55	3.56	5.83
	1.46	3.6	8.08
	1.53	3.25	6
	1.42	3.54	8.75
	1.54	3.25	5.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.47)	3.48 ↑ (3.47)	7.02 ↓ (7.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ikorodu City
61.1%

Draw
26%

Niger Tornadoes
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.4%

26%

12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

25.7%

12.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ikorodu City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Niger Tornadoes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ikorodu City than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Niger Tornadoes than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Ikorodu City - Niger Tornadoes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Atata M. (G) 18. Adebayo T. 20. Arumala J. 7. Chidera Oparaocha C. 19. Idoko D. 33. Ogbonnaya J. 30. Onwe K. 10. Oyedokun T. 13. Salawudeen A. 24. Tomiwa A. 27. Ujunwa E.	1. Nchekwube I. (G) 17. Abubakar I. 13. Ahmadu L. 5. Akinmoladun S. 7. Dabai A. 8. Ebong K. 30. Godwin J. 19. Nelson M. 4. Sabiu I. 12. Saidu I. 9. Sarki I.
Substitutes
4. Adeoye A. 17. Alao T. 31. Ayoola I. 8. Bada M. 6. Ikechukwu E. 22. Ocheme I. (G) 32. Olanrewaju M.	20. Dalhatu A. 15. Family A. 18. Khalid A. 40. Mendos R. 29. Musa A. 14. Okoye I. 23. Omotayo Y. 35. Suleiman A. (G) 32. Usman B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Arumala J. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Adebayo T. ↓, Adeoye A. ↑,
49', Ebong K. ↓, Mendos R. ↑,
54', 🟨,
62', 🟨,
66', Sabiu I. ↓, Dalhatu A. ↑,
67', 🟨,
69', Chidera Oparaocha C. ↓, Ayoola I. ↑,
79', Tomiwa A. ↓, Bada M. ↑,
88', 2 - 0, Arumala J. ⚽,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: ) and 8).

Ikorodu City is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Niger Tornadoes's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ikorodu City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Ikorodu City has had a series of home games.

In this match, Ikorodu City is the clear favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ikorodu City won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Ikorodu City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Ikorodu City	7	2	3	2	8:7	1	9
12	Niger Tornadoes	7	2	2	3	6:7	-1	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ikorodu City FC
Nigerian Premier League
29.01.26	Ikorodu City - Shooting Stars	1:0 ✺
18.01.26	Ikorodu City - Kwara United	1:0 ✺
28.12.25	Ikorodu City - Remo Stars	1:0 ✺
21.12.25	Enugu Rangers - Ikorodu City	2:1 ✺
15.12.25	Ikorodu City - Katsina United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWWLT
- Niger Tornadoes
Nigerian Premier League
01.02.26	Niger Tornadoes - Bendel Insurance	2:2 ✺
29.01.26	Bayelsa United - Niger Tornadoes	0:0 ✺
25.01.26	Niger Tornadoes - Enyimba	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Nasarawa United - Niger Tornadoes	2:1 ✺
28.12.25	Niger Tornadoes - Barau	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Nigerian Premier League
21.09.25	Niger Tornadoes - Ikorodu City	4:2
13.04.25	Ikorodu City - Niger Tornadoes	3:0
23.11.24	Niger Tornadoes - Ikorodu City	0:0

Ikorodu City - Niger Tornadoes: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide