Match Info

NPFL - Round 24

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Bako Kontagora Stadium (Minna)

Where to Watch on TV:


Nigeria	NPFL Live


	Niger Tornadoes		Bendel Insurance

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.05	5.5
	1.54	3.34	6.38
	1.68	3	6.34	Watch
	1.6	3	6
	1.7	3.09	5.92
	1.55	3.1	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.74)	3.1 ↓ (3.11)	6.02 ↑ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Niger Tornadoes
55.8%

Draw
29.2%

Bendel Insurance
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

29.5%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

28.4%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Niger Tornadoes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Bendel Insurance has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Niger Tornadoes than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bendel Insurance than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Niger Tornadoes - Bendel Insurance Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Niger Tornadoes (2.14) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Niger Tornadoes will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Niger Tornadoes will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Niger Tornadoes (votes: 10 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nchekwube I. (G) 17. Abubakar I. 5. Akinmoladun S. 6. Ani C. 7. Dabai A. 20. Dalhatu A. 15. Family A. 18. Khalid A. 4. Sabiu I. 12. Saidu I. 9. Sarki I.	32. Ofori E. (G) 5. Akpan E. 18. Anthony N. 14. Chigozie D. 20. Dewan P. 2. Molokwu C. 11. Nwosu C. 13. Okoro E. 3. Onyia H. 6. Oweilayefa A. 33. Ugwu E.
Substitutes
13. Ahmadu L. 8. Ebong K. 16. Godstime J. 30. Godwin J. 40. Mendos R. 19. Nelson M. 14. Okoye I. 35. Suleiman A. (G) 32. Usman B.	35. Amaefule C. 19. Chikatara C. 27. Giwa Chari 31. Obiazo D. (G) 23. Okorom S. 29. Sudes Musa 40. Torisheju V. 37. Ubiomo E. 7. Wisdom U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Anthony N. ⚽,
38', 0 - 2, Nwosu C. ⚽,
42', 🟨,
45+6', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
57', 🟨,
60', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 and 8)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Niger Tornadoes won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Bendel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Niger Tornadoes is the team to beat.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Niger Tornadoes won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Niger Tornadoes won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.3:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Bendel	7	4	0	3	13:11	2	12
12	Niger Tornadoes	7	2	2	3	6:7	-1	8

Last Results with these Odds

Bendel Insurance - the odds 5.2 are the expected chance of winning is 17.67%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Niger Tornadoes
Nigerian Premier League
29.01.26	Bayelsa United - Niger Tornadoes	0:0 ✺
25.01.26	Niger Tornadoes - Enyimba	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Nasarawa United - Niger Tornadoes	2:1 ✺
28.12.25	Niger Tornadoes - Barau	2:0 ✺
21.12.25	Shooting Stars - Niger Tornadoes	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TWLWL
- Bendel Insurance FC
Nigerian Premier League
29.01.26	Bendel Insurance - Barau	0:0 ✺
25.01.26	Shooting Stars - Bendel Insurance	1:0 ✺
27.12.25	Bendel Insurance - Kwara United	2:0 ✺
21.12.25	Remo Stars - Bendel Insurance	2:3 ✺
13.12.25	Bendel Insurance - Enugu Rangers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Nigerian Premier League
13.09.25	Bendel Insurance - Niger Tornadoes	1:0
16.02.25	Bendel Insurance - Niger Tornadoes	3:0
29.09.24	Niger Tornadoes - Bendel Insurance	1:1
12.11.23	Niger Tornadoes - Bendel Insurance	0:0
05.05.19	Bendel Insurance - Niger Tornadoes	0:0
27.01.19	Niger Tornadoes - Bendel Insurance	0:0

Niger Tornadoes - Bendel Insurance: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide