Match Info

Kategoria e Parë - Round 30

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Iliria		Luftëtari Gjirokastër

	1	X	2
	2.68	3.1	2.4
	2.57	3.12	2.57	Watch
	2.53	3.04	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (1.77)	3.09 ↓ (3.38)	2.51 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iliria
34.8%

Draw
29.3%

Luftëtari Gjirokastër
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

27%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

26.1%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iliria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Iliria's form might have worsened.

Luftëtari Gjirokastër has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luftëtari Gjirokastër's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iliria than the current prediction. (+18.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Iliria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luftëtari Gjirokastër than the current prediction. (-14.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luftëtari Gjirokastër, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Iliria - Luftëtari Gjirokastër Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Diamanti G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 0 - 2, Ziaj A. ⚽,
64', 1 - 2, Fofana M. ⚽,

Preview

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Iliria is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Iliria won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Including home match between the teams, Iliria won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Iliria Fushe-Kruje	4	1	3	0	5:3	2	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KS Iliria
Albanian First Division
04.04.26	Skënderbeu Korçë - Iliria	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Iliria - Laçi	1:1 ✺
18.03.26	Pogradeci - Iliria	3:0 ✺
07.03.26	Burreli - Iliria	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Iliria - Kukësi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTLTT
- Luftëtari Gjirokastër
Albanian First Division
05.04.26	Luftëtari Gjirokastër - Besa Kavajë	2:3 ✺
22.03.26	Korabi Peshkopi - Luftëtari Gjirokastër	1:0 ✺
18.03.26	Luftëtari Gjirokastër - Apolonia Fier	2:2 ✺
14.03.26	Lushnja - Luftëtari Gjirokastër	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	Kukësi - Luftëtari Gjirokastër	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Albanian First Division
13.12.25	Iliria - Luftëtari Gjirokastër	1:1

Iliria - Luftëtari Gjirokastër: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide