Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL Premier Division - Round 16

Date: 2 November 2024, Saturday


	Ilkeston		Blyth Spartans

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.8	5
	1.54	4	5
	1.55	4.31	5.34
	1.5	3.5	5.5
	1.5	4.2	5.16
	1.54	4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.55)	3.97 ↓ (4.05)	5.17 ↑ (4.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilkeston
59.5%

Draw
22.9%

Blyth Spartans
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

22.5%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

21.5%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilkeston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Blyth Spartans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilkeston than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blyth Spartans than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Ilkeston - Blyth Spartans Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Kirby-Moore H. ⚽,
35', 2 - 0, Walker J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
76', 3 - 0, Eratt-Thompson K. ⚽,
85', Hogan M. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: ) and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ilkeston won 1.

Recent matches Ilkeston is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Blyth is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Blyth could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ilkeston is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Ilkeston won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 13:21 (average 1.3:2.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Ilkeston won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:11 (average 1.4:2.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilkeston FC
English NPL Premier Division
26.10.24	Prescot Cables - Ilkeston	3:1 ✺
22.10.24	Ilkeston - Hyde United	3:2 ✺
19.10.24	Ilkeston - Guiseley	1:1 ✺
12.10.24	Workington - Ilkeston	2:1 ✺
08.10.24	Morpeth Town - Ilkeston	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWTLW
- Blyth Spartans
English NPL Premier Division
12.10.24	Leek Town - Blyth Spartans	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
05.10.24	Blyth Spartans - Stockton Town	0:2 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
28.09.24	Blyth Spartans - Basford United	0:2 ✺
21.09.24	Mickleover Sports - Blyth Spartans	4:0 ✺
18.09.24	Stockton Town - Blyth Spartans	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
04.02.17	Ilkeston - Blyth Spartans	0:5
18.10.16	Blyth Spartans - Ilkeston	3:1
02.04.16	Ilkeston - Blyth Spartans	3:3
09.02.16	Blyth Spartans - Ilkeston	1:0
03.03.15	Blyth Spartans - Ilkeston	0:1
26.01.15	Ilkeston - Blyth Spartans	1:1
22.03.14	Ilkeston - Blyth Spartans	0:1

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