Match Info
NPL Premier Division - Round 9Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday
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Workington |
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Ilkeston |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.70 |
3.75 |
3.70 |
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1.72 |
3.50 |
3.75 |
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1.66 |
4.07 |
4.07 |
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1.8 |
3.93 |
3.86 |
 Watch |
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1.64 |
4.00 |
4.00 |
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1.67 |
3.84 |
4.12 |
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1.73 |
3.75 |
3.95 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.7 ↓
(1.78) |
3.83 ↑
(3.8) |
3.92 ↑
(3.74) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Workington
53.2% | Draw
23.6% | Ilkeston
23.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Workington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)Ilkeston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Workington than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilkeston than the current prediction. (+0.3%)Workington - Ilkeston Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 1', 1 - 0, Hunter L. ⚽,
- 10', 2 - 0, Hunter L. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 48', 2 - 1, Dwyer A. ⚽,
- 57', 3 - 1, Dickenson B. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 17).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Workington won 3.Workington is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).Ilkeston is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0). In this match, Workington is the team to beat.We predict that Workington will win today's game, with odds of 1.75.In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Workington won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:14. (average 1.9:1.1).Including home matches between the teams, Workington won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:4. (average 2:0.6).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 5 | Workington | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 23:19 | 4 | 21 |
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| 21 | Ilkeston | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7:26 | -19 | 7 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| English NPL Premier Division | | | 07.02.26 | Workington - Ilkeston | 1:0 | | 27.09.25 | Ilkeston - Workington | 3:2 | | 08.02.25 | Ilkeston - Workington | 1:0 | | 12.10.24 | Workington - Ilkeston | 2:1 | | 23.12.23 | Workington - Ilkeston | 4:1 | | 19.08.23 | Ilkeston - Workington | 6:1 | | 19.04.17 | Workington - Ilkeston | 2:0 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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