Match Info

FA Trophy - 1/64-finals

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday


	Ilkeston		Curzon Ashton

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.55	2.02
	3.1	3.77	2.04
	3.77	1.98	3.28	Watch
	3.21	3.63	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.32 ↓ (3.82)	3.23 ↓ (3.75)	2.36 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilkeston
29.1%

Draw
29.9%

Curzon Ashton
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

24.2%

52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3%

24.7%

53.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilkeston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ilkeston's performance.

Curzon Ashton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Curzon Ashton might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilkeston than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ilkeston that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Curzon Ashton than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Curzon Ashton could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ilkeston - Curzon Ashton Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', 0 - 1, Curran A. (Pen),
83', Parker S. 🟥,

Preview

Ilkeston is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Curzon Ashton has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Curzon Ashton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Curzon Ashton has had a series of home games.

In this match, Curzon Ashton is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ilkeston won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:2).

Including home match between the teams, Ilkeston won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilkeston FC
English NPL Premier Division
08.11.25	Ilkeston - Ashton United	0:2 ✺
01.11.25	Stockton Town - Ilkeston	0:4 ✺
English FA Trophy
25.10.25	Ilkeston - St Ives Town	3:1 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
18.10.25	Ilkeston - Warrington Rylands	2:2 ✺
11.10.25	Guiseley - Ilkeston	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 LWWTW
- Curzon Ashton
English National League North
08.11.25	Curzon Ashton - Scarborough Athletic	1:2 ✺
04.11.25	Curzon Ashton - Spennymoor Town	2:2 ✺
01.11.25	Hereford - Curzon Ashton	3:3 ✺
28.10.25	Curzon Ashton - King`s Lynn Town	3:0 ✺
25.10.25	Curzon Ashton - Peterborough Sports	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
02.05.15	Curzon Ashton - Ilkeston	1:0
21.02.15	Curzon Ashton - Ilkeston	4:0
30.08.14	Ilkeston - Curzon Ashton	1:1

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