Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 16

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday


	Stockton Town		Ilkeston

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.5	3.55
	1.95	3.90	3.25	Watch
	1.87	3.5	3.57
	1.85	3.75	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (1.95)	3.66 ↓ (3.8)	3.47 ↑ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stockton Town
48.8%

Draw
24.9%

Ilkeston
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

24.4%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

25.3%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stockton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Ilkeston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stockton Town than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilkeston than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Stockton Town - Ilkeston Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
33', 0 - 1, Kirby-Moore H. ⚽,
38', 0 - 2, Kirby-Moore H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
58', Nicholson A. 🟥,
68', 0 - 3, Stevens J. ⚽,
86', 0 - 4, Parker S. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: ) and 10).

In recent matches, Stockton Town has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ilkeston is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Stockton Town may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Stockton Town is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Stockton Town won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Stockton Town won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stockton Town
English NPL Premier Division
28.10.25	Hednesford Town - Stockton Town	1:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
25.10.25	Clitheroe - Stockton Town	4:2 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
18.10.25	Stockton Town - Ashton United	1:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
04.10.25	Stockton Town - Lower Breck	2:0 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
27.09.25	Stockton Town - Bamber Bridge	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLWT
- Ilkeston FC
English FA Trophy
25.10.25	Ilkeston - St Ives Town	3:1 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
18.10.25	Ilkeston - Warrington Rylands	2:2 ✺
11.10.25	Guiseley - Ilkeston	1:4 ✺
English FA Trophy
04.10.25	Evesham United - Ilkeston	0:2 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
27.09.25	Ilkeston - Workington	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
22.03.25	Stockton Town - Ilkeston	1:0
18.02.25	Ilkeston - Stockton Town	1:2

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