Match Info

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday


	Ilkeston		Avro

	1	X	2
	11.50	5.55	1.17
	11.5	5.9	1.21	Watch
	12.30	5.75	1.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	11.77 ↑ (4.41)	5.73 ↑ (4.05)	1.18 ↓ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilkeston
7.7%

Draw
15.8%

Avro
76.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

20.5%

22.4%

57.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9%

21%

53.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilkeston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ilkeston's form might have worsened.

Avro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Avro's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilkeston than the current prediction. (+14.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ilkeston, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avro than the current prediction. (-23.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Avro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Ilkeston - Avro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 22nd in the Relegation and 4th in the Promotion - NPL Premier Division Playoffs - Quarter - finals).

Ilkeston is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Performances by Avro have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Avro could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Avro carries the favorite tag into this contest.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Avro	12	8	1	3	34:23	11	25
22	Ilkeston	14	2	1	11	8:34	-26	7

Outrights of English NPL Premier Division for now

Avro: 10.28% Ilkeston: 0.77%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilkeston FC
English NPL Premier Division
13.10.26	Gainsborough Trinity - Ilkeston	3:1 ✺
10.10.26	Ilkeston - Redcar Athletic	0:5 ✺
06.10.26	Ilkeston - Guiseley	0:2 ✺
03.10.26	Lancaster City - Ilkeston	2:1 ✺
29.09.26	Ilkeston - Warrington Rylands	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Avro FC
English NPL Premier Division
13.10.26	Redcar Athletic - Avro	3:1 ✺
10.10.26	Avro - Guiseley	0:1 ✺
07.10.26	Avro - Lancaster City	5:3 ✺
12.09.26	Gainsborough Trinity - Avro	0:2 ✺
English FA Cup
05.09.26	Avro - Witton Albion	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWWL

Ilkeston - Avro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide