Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE CENTRAL DIVISION - ROUND 27

Date: 7 January 2023, Saturday


	Ilkeston		Rushden & Diamonds

	1	X	2
	1.2	5.75	10.5
	1.19	6	9.6
	1.2	6.34	11.69
	1.19	6.25	10.5
	1.18	6	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↓ (1.58)	6.07 ↑ (4.26)	10.66 ↑ (4.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilkeston
76.4%

Draw
15%

Rushden & Diamonds
8.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

21%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

20.1%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilkeston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ilkeston's performance.

Rushden & Diamonds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rushden & Diamonds might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilkeston than the current prediction. (-17.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ilkeston that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rushden & Diamonds than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rushden & Diamonds could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ilkeston - Rushden & Diamonds Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 7 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Ilkeston is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rushden & Diamonds is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Ilkeston is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ilkeston won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilkeston FC
English Southern League Central Division
02.01.23	Mickleover Sports - Ilkeston	1:1 ✺
26.12.22	Ilkeston - Basford United	1:1 ✺
17.12.22	Ilkeston - Alvechurch	3:0 ✺
10.12.22	Ilkeston - Tamworth	0:2 ✺
03.12.22	Redditch United - Ilkeston	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TTWLW
- AFC Rushden & Diamonds
English Southern League Central Division
02.01.23	Rushden & Diamonds - St Ives Town	2:1 ✺
26.12.22	Bedford Town - Rushden & Diamonds	6:1 ✺
06.12.22	Rushden & Diamonds - Tamworth	1:3 ✺
03.12.22	Rushden & Diamonds - Alvechurch	0:2 ✺
26.11.22	Rushall Olympic - Rushden & Diamonds	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
27.08.22	Rushden & Diamonds - Ilkeston	1:1

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