Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE CENTRAL DIVISION - ROUND 23

Date: 10 December 2022, Saturday


	Ilkeston		Tamworth

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.4	2.25
	2.5	3.5	2.35
	2.61	3.58	2.45
	2.75	3.6	2.1
	2.59	3.55	2.35
	2.55	3.5	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↓ (2.8)	3.52 ↓ (3.58)	2.31 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilkeston
34.9%

Draw
25.8%

Tamworth
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

25.1%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

27.1%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilkeston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Tamworth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilkeston than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ilkeston that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tamworth than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tamworth could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ilkeston - Tamworth Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Tamworth could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ilkeston won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilkeston FC
English Southern League Central Division
03.12.22	Redditch United - Ilkeston	1:4 ✺
26.11.22	Ilkeston - Kings Langley	3:0 ✺
19.11.22	Ilkeston - Barwell	2:0 ✺
12.11.22	Nuneaton Town - Ilkeston	2:0 ✺
05.11.22	Ilkeston - Hitchin Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWWLW
- Tamworth
English Southern League Central Division
06.12.22	Rushden & Diamonds - Tamworth	1:3 ✺
03.12.22	Tamworth - Bedford Town	2:2 ✺
26.11.22	Nuneaton Town - Tamworth	1:1 ✺
22.11.22	Rushall Olympic - Tamworth	2:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
19.11.22	Tamworth - Boston United	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
06.08.22	Tamworth - Ilkeston	1:1

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