Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE CENTRAL DIVISION - ROUND 22

Date: 3 December 2022, Saturday


	Rushden & Diamonds		Alvechurch

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.8	1.75
	3.6	3.4	1.75
	3.7	3.6	1.78
	3.88	3.74	1.81
	3.6	4	1.73
	3.82	3.76	1.77
	3.75	3.75	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.69 ↑ (3.2)	3.72 ↓ (3.97)	1.77 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rushden & Diamonds
24.5%

Draw
24.3%

Alvechurch
51.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

22.7%

49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

23.3%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rushden & Diamonds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Alvechurch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rushden & Diamonds than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvechurch than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Rushden & Diamonds - Alvechurch Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rushden & Diamonds won 2.

Rushden & Diamonds is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Alvechurch is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alvechurch could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Alvechurch have a series of guest games.

Alvechurch will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Rushden & Diamonds won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Rushden & Diamonds won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Rushden & Diamonds
English Southern League Central Division
26.11.22	Rushall Olympic - Rushden & Diamonds	3:1 ✺
21.11.22	Hitchin Town - Rushden & Diamonds	2:1 ✺
19.11.22	Rushden & Diamonds - Stourbridge	1:3 ✺
12.11.22	Royston Town - Rushden & Diamonds	2:1 ✺
05.11.22	Rushden & Diamonds - Kings Langley	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLLW
- Alvechurch FC
English FA Cup
26.11.22	Forest Green Rovers - Alvechurch	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
19.11.22	Leiston - Alvechurch	4:3 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
12.11.22	Hitchin Town - Alvechurch	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
05.11.22	Cheltenham Town - Alvechurch	1:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
29.10.22	Nuneaton Town - Alvechurch	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.1 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
20.08.22	Alvechurch - Rushden & Diamonds	2:0
22.01.22	Alvechurch - Rushden & Diamonds	1:2
16.10.21	Rushden & Diamonds - Alvechurch	1:2
16.11.19	Alvechurch - Rushden & Diamonds	1:2
02.03.19	Rushden & Diamonds - Alvechurch	1:1
08.12.18	Alvechurch - Rushden & Diamonds	0:0

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