Match Info

Date: 3 May 2022, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Illertissen		Eltersdorf

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.4	3.25
	2.1	3.35	3.1
	2.08	3.45	3.15
	2.03	3.29	3.18
	2.05	3.3	3.2
	2.11	3.68	3.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.52)	3.41 ↓ (3.85)	3.18 ↓ (5.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Illertissen
44.5%

Draw
26.8%

Eltersdorf
28.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.1%

23.3%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8%

24%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Illertissen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Illertissen's form might have worsened.

Eltersdorf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Eltersdorf's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illertissen than the current prediction. (+16.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Illertissen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eltersdorf than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Eltersdorf, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.7%	26.7%	26.7%

Illertissen - Eltersdorf Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Illertissen will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Eltersdorf will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Illertissen: 21.5% – 71.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 7 and 17 in the zone Regionalliga Bayern (Relegation)).

Illertissen is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Eltersdorf is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Eltersdorf could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Illertissen have a series of home games.

Illertissen will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Illertissen won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FV Illertissen
German Regionalliga Bayern
29.04.22	Illertissen - Bayreuth	0:1 ✺
26.04.22	Illertissen - Schalding-Heining	0:0 ✺
23.04.22	Augsburg II - Illertissen	4:0 ✺
20.04.22	Illertissen - Unterhaching	0:2 ✺
16.04.22	Illertissen - 1860 Rosenheim	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLW
- SC Eltersdorf
German Regionalliga Bayern
29.04.22	Eltersdorf - Nürnberg II	3:3 ✺
23.04.22	Wacker Burghausen - Eltersdorf	3:0 ✺
20.04.22	Eltersdorf - Rain am Lech	0:1 ✺
16.04.22	Eichstätt - Eltersdorf	0:3 ✺
13.04.22	Eltersdorf - Aubstadt	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Bayern
22.10.21	Eltersdorf - Illertissen	0:2

Illertissen - Eltersdorf