Match Info

Regionalliga Bayern - Round 8

Date: 11 September 2026, Friday


	Illertissen		Nürnberg II

	1	X	2
	2.62	3.40	2.35
	2.68	3.80	2.34
	2.55	3.58	2.41
	2.65	3.55	2.30
	2.61	3.44	2.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.49)	3.55 ↑ (3.46)	2.34 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Illertissen
35%

Draw
25.8%

Nürnberg II
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

26.2%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Illertissen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Nürnberg II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Illertissen - Nürnberg II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
75', 0 - 1, Skowronek J. ⚽,
85', 1 - 1, Milic D. (Penalty Awarded),
90+3', 2 - 1, Kronenberg B. ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 and 16 in the zone Regionalliga Bayern (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Illertissen won 2.

Illertissen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Illertissen won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 26:41. (average 1.3:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Illertissen won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:19. (average 1.1:1.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Illertissen	11	5	3	3	20:15	5	18
13	Nurnberg II	11	4	1	6	21:17	4	13

Last Results with these Odds

Nürnberg II - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 37.41%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FV Illertissen
German Regionalliga Bayern
29.08.26	Illertissen - Bayern Munich II	0:2 ✺
16.05.26	Illertissen - Schwaben Augsburg	2:1 ✺
09.05.26	Hankofen-Hailing - Illertissen	1:5 ✺
30.04.26	Illertissen - Bayern Munich II	4:0 ✺
25.04.26	Eichstätt - Illertissen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWWWL
- Nürnberg II
Club Friendly
16.07.26	Nürnberg II - Austria Lustenau	1:0 ✺
German Regionalliga Bayern
16.05.26	Nürnberg II - Hankofen-Hailing	2:2 ✺
09.05.26	Bayreuth - Nürnberg II	0:0 ✺
02.05.26	Nürnberg II - Buchbach	9:1 ✺
28.04.26	Wacker Burghausen - Nürnberg II	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Bayern
10.04.26	Illertissen - Nürnberg II	1:1
27.09.25	Nürnberg II - Illertissen	2:5
26.04.25	Nürnberg II - Illertissen	2:0
12.10.24	Illertissen - Nürnberg II	0:2
25.11.23	Illertissen - Nürnberg II	3:1
19.08.23	Nürnberg II - Illertissen	0:2
23.04.23	Nürnberg II - Illertissen	1:1

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