Match Info

GERMANY: REGIONALLIGA BAYERN - ROUND 24

Date: 3 December 2022, Saturday


	Illertissen		Rain am Lech

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.25	3.9
	1.82	3.5	3.8
	1.84	3.4	3.95
	1.83	3.7	4.05
	1.88	3.2	3.75
	1.82	3.6	4.15	Watch
	1.82	3.4	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.85)	3.44 ↓ (3.57)	3.93 ↑ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Illertissen
50.1%

Draw
26.6%

Rain am Lech
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

25.3%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

25.6%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Illertissen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Rain am Lech has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illertissen than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rain am Lech than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Illertissen - Rain am Lech Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Illertissen won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Illertissen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Illertissen will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Illertissen won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Illertissen won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FV Illertissen
German Regionalliga Bayern
26.11.22	Illertissen - Buchbach	0:0 ✺
12.11.22	Illertissen - Unterhaching	3:4 ✺
05.11.22	Viktoria Aschaffenburg - Illertissen	3:0 ✺
29.10.22	Vilzing - Illertissen	1:1 ✺
21.10.22	Illertissen - Türkgücü München	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TLLTW
- TSV 1896 Rain am Lech
German Regionalliga Bayern
26.11.22	Rain am Lech - Nürnberg II	2:1 ✺
19.11.22	Buchbach - Rain am Lech	3:2 ✺
12.11.22	Rain am Lech - Hankofen-Hailing	5:1 ✺
05.11.22	Schweinfurt - Rain am Lech	1:3 ✺
29.10.22	Würzburger Kickers - Rain am Lech	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Bayern
06.08.22	Rain am Lech - Illertissen	3:1
05.04.22	Rain am Lech - Illertissen	1:2
03.08.21	Illertissen - Rain am Lech	1:1
21.09.19	Rain am Lech - Illertissen	1:1
07.05.16	Illertissen - Rain am Lech	3:2
17.10.15	Rain am Lech - Illertissen	2:2
09.05.14	Rain am Lech - Illertissen	3:2

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