Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 9

Date: 28 October 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Illescas		Mensajero

	1	X	2
	1.95	3	3.6
	2.1	3.1	3.6
	2.09	2.91	3.53
	2.05	3.02	3.54
	1.9	3.1	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 (2.02)	3.03 ↑ (2.88)	3.65 ↓ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Illescas
45.1%

Draw
30.1%

Mensajero
24.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.9%

31.5%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

28.4%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Illescas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Mensajero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illescas than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mensajero than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Illescas - Mensajero Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Illescas is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mensajero is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Illescas will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Illescas
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
22.10.23	Getafe B - Illescas	0:1 ✺
14.10.23	Illescas - Villanovense	1:1 ✺
08.10.23	Navalcarnero - Illescas	2:2 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
04.10.23	CD Guadalajara - Illescas	4:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
01.10.23	Illescas - Numancia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WTTLL
- CD Mensajero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
22.10.23	Mensajero - Atlético Paso	0:2 ✺
15.10.23	Llerenense - Mensajero	2:1 ✺
08.10.23	Mensajero - Montijo	1:1 ✺
01.10.23	Gimnástica Segoviana - Mensajero	0:0 ✺
24.09.23	Mensajero - Cacereño	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LLTTT

Illescas - Mensajero

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Illescas - Mensajero Predictions

Preview

Form

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