Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 5

Date: 1 October 2023, Sunday


	Illescas		Numancia

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.1	2.05
	3.5	3.2	2.1
	3.23	3.07	2.25
	3.2	3.05	2.17
	3.3	3.1	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↓ (3.68)	3.1 ↑ (3)	2.13 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Illescas
27.8%

Draw
29.4%

Numancia
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.7%

30.3%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

29.3%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Illescas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Numancia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illescas than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Illescas - Numancia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Numancia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Numancia will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Illescas
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
23.09.23	Illescas - Badajoz	0:0 ✺
17.09.23	Atlético Paso - Illescas	1:1 ✺
09.09.23	Illescas - Llerenense	0:3 ✺
03.09.23	Montijo - Illescas	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
23.08.23	Illescas - Deportivo Toledo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TTLWT
- CD Numancia
Spanish Copa Federacion
27.09.23	Talavera de la Reina - Numancia	2:0 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
24.09.23	Numancia - Atlético Paso	3:1 ✺
16.09.23	Llerenense - Numancia	0:2 ✺
10.09.23	Numancia - Montijo	1:2 ✺
03.09.23	Gimnástica Segoviana - Numancia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWLL

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