Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 16

Date: 16 December 2023, Saturday


	Talavera de la Reina		Numancia

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.4	4.5
	1.65	3.4	4.5
	1.7	3.4	5
	1.81	3.5	4.4
	1.81	3.12	4.28
	1.75	3.24	4.5
	1.7	3.45	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.97)	3.36 ↑ (3.18)	4.54 ↑ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Talavera de la Reina
52.7%

Draw
27.2%

Numancia
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

28.6%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

27.5%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Talavera de la Reina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Talavera de la Reina's performance.

Numancia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Numancia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Talavera de la Reina - Numancia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Talavera is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Numancia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Talavera is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Talavera won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Talavera won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Talavera de la Reina
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
10.12.23	Illescas - Talavera de la Reina	1:0 ✺
03.12.23	Talavera de la Reina - Atlético Paso	0:0 ✺
25.11.23	Llerenense - Talavera de la Reina	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
22.11.23	Talavera de la Reina - Badalona Futur	1:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
18.11.23	Talavera de la Reina - Montijo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LTLLW
- CD Numancia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
10.12.23	Numancia - Ursaria	3:0 ✺
03.12.23	UD San Fernando - Numancia	1:0 ✺
26.11.23	Numancia - CD Guadalajara	0:2 ✺
19.11.23	Unión Adarve - Numancia	1:1 ✺
12.11.23	Numancia - San Sebastian Reyes	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Copa Federacion
27.09.23	Talavera de la Reina - Numancia	2:0

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