Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 22

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday


	Illescas		Pedroñeras

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.2	4.25
	1.78	3.34	4.46
	1.75	3.43	4.46	Watch
	1.75	3.2	4.2
	1.77	3.64	4.37
	1.73	3.33	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.77)	3.36 ↓ (3.4)	4.37 ↑ (4.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Illescas
52%

Draw
27.2%

Pedroñeras
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

26.8%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

23.7%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Illescas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Pedroñeras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illescas than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Illescas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pedroñeras than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Illescas - Pedroñeras Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45', 0 - 1, Checa I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

In this match, Illescas is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Illescas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Including home match between the teams, Illescas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Illescas	5	3	2	0	7:3	4	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Illescas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
08.02.26	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Illescas	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Illescas - San Clemente	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Villacañas - Illescas	1:0 ✺
18.01.26	Illescas - Sonseca	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	Manchego - Illescas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTLWL
- CD Pedroñeras
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
08.02.26	Pedroñeras - Manchego	0:4 ✺
01.02.26	Villarrobledo - Pedroñeras	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Pedroñeras - Albacete B	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	La Solana - Pedroñeras	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Deportivo Toledo - Pedroñeras	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
28.02.21	Illescas - Pedroñeras	2:1

Illescas - Pedroñeras: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide