Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 21

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday


	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano		Illescas

	1	X	2
	1.41	3.8	7.3
	1.36	4.13	9.27
	1.41	3.88	8.29
	1.36	3.75	8.5
	1.39	3.78	8.5
	1.37	4	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.65)	3.89 ↑ (3)	8.31 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Calvo Sotelo Puertollano
65.7%

Draw
23.4%

Illescas
10.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

28.2%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3%

25.2%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Calvo Sotelo Puertollano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Calvo Sotelo Puertollano's performance.

Illescas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Illescas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calvo Sotelo Puertollano than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Calvo Sotelo Puertollano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illescas than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Illescas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Illescas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Calvo Sotelo is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Illescas has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Calvo Sotelo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Calvo Sotelo is the clear favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Calvo Sotelo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Calvo Sotelo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Illescas	5	3	2	0	7:3	4	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calvo Sotelo Puertollano
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
31.01.26	Manchego - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	0:1 ✺
25.01.26	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Villarrobledo	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Albacete B - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	0:2 ✺
11.01.26	La Solana - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	0:2 ✺
21.12.25	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Deportivo Toledo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WTWWL
- CD Illescas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
01.02.26	Illescas - San Clemente	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Villacañas - Illescas	1:0 ✺
18.01.26	Illescas - Sonseca	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	Manchego - Illescas	2:0 ✺
21.12.25	Illescas - Villarrobledo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
27.09.25	Illescas - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	0:0
25.03.23	Illescas - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	0:0
27.11.22	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Illescas	2:1

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