Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 17 - ROUND 14

Date: 17 December 2023, Sunday


	Illueca		Binéfar

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.87	2.85
	2.35	3	2.95
	2.34	2.95	2.95
	2.34	2.95	2.95
	2.35	2.93	2.98
	2.35	3	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.18)	2.95 ↓ (2.99)	2.94 ↓ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Illueca
38.5%

Draw
30.7%

Binéfar
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

30.1%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

31.2%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Illueca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Binéfar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illueca than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Binéfar than the current prediction. (-3%)

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Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Illueca won 2.

Illueca is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Binéfar is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Illueca will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Illueca won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Illueca won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Illueca
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
03.12.23	Borja - Illueca	0:0 ✺
26.11.23	Illueca - Calamocha	1:1 ✺
19.11.23	Épila - Illueca	3:0 ✺
11.11.23	Illueca - Caspe	0:2 ✺
04.11.23	Belchite - Illueca	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TTLLT
- CD Binéfar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
03.12.23	Binéfar - Ejea	1:1 ✺
26.11.23	Cariñena - Binéfar	2:1 ✺
19.11.23	Binéfar - Cuarte	3:0 ✺
12.11.23	Binéfar - Huesca B	1:0 ✺
05.11.23	Borja - Binéfar	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
12.03.23	Illueca - Binéfar	1:1
09.11.22	Binéfar - Illueca	0:1
08.05.22	Illueca - Binéfar	1:1 ET
17.04.22	Illueca - Binéfar	1:0
14.02.21	Illueca - Binéfar	0:1
06.01.19	Binéfar - Illueca	0:2

Illueca - Binéfar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide