The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Imabari 28.5%
Draw 27.1%
Kataller Toyama 44.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.4%
29%
34.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.3%
28.1%
35.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Imabari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Imabari's form might have worsened.
Kataller Toyama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kataller Toyama's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Imabari than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Imabari, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kataller Toyama than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kataller Toyama, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
75%
25%
Imabari - Kataller Toyama Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Kataller Toyama will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Tachikawa K. (G) 2. Umeki R. 24. Takeuchi Y. 29. Maruyama Y. 15. Gabriel Gomes 77. Kato J. 17. Mochii K. 6. Kajiura Y. 33. Sasa S. 44. Hayashi M. 19. Furuyama K.
1. Hirao T. (G) 13. Fukazawa S. 56. Okamoto S. 23. Nishiya S. 33. Takahashi Y. 14. Tanimoto S. 20. Jung Woo-Young 32. Mizoguchi S. 11. Ogawa K. 7. Kameda A. 39. Furukawa M.
Substitutes
10. Junio E. 8. Komai Y. 36. Kubo K. 23. Lee Y. 20. Rodrigo Souza 25. Sato R. 3. Son T. 38. Umakoshi H. 16. Yamamoto T. (G)
28. Fuseya S. 77. Kagawa T. 42. Kim T. 34. Takenaka G. 21. Terakado R. (G) 15. Tsuboi K. 25. Yasumitsu S. 9. Yoshihira T. 17. Yunomae M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Furukawa M. ⚽, Takahashi Y. (A),
7', Hirao T. 🟨,
36', Gabriel Gomes 🟨,
45', 0 - 2, Furukawa M. ⚽, Jung Woo-Young (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Furuyama K. ↓, Junio E. ↑,
56', Furukawa M. ↓, Tsuboi K. ↑,
56', Kameda A. ↓, Kim T. ↑,
56', Ogawa K. ↓, Yoshihira T. ↑,
62', Mochii K. ↓, Kubo K. ↑,
62', Kato J. ↓, Rodrigo Souza ↑,
77', Mizoguchi S. ↓, Fuseya S. ↑,
80', Hayashi M. ↓, Komai Y. ↑,
84', 1 - 2, Takeuchi Y. ⚽, Gabriel Gomes (A),
87', Jung Woo-Young 🟨,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Imabari won 1.
Recent form of Imabari has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Kataller Toyama is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Imabari won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:19. (average 1.6:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Imabari won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.5:1.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Imabari - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 36.43%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.