The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Osaka 42.5%
Draw 28.4%
Kataller Toyama 29.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.2%
28.3%
39.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.7%
27.9%
40.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Osaka's performance.
Kataller Toyama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kataller Toyama might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osaka than the current prediction. (-10.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Osaka that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kataller Toyama than the current prediction. (+11%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kataller Toyama could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
100%
0%
Osaka - Kataller Toyama Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Sugawara H. (G) 11. Tsutsumi S. 40. Kawakami R. 4. Yamashita R. 13. Mima K. 10. Kubo R. 37. Iesaka Y. 14. Sumida S. 41. Nose R. 9. Shimada T. 19. Masuda S.
1. Hirao T. (G) 23. Nishiya S. 56. Okamoto S. 3. Kagawa Y. 8. Matsuoka D. 34. Takenaka G. 14. Tanimoto S. 28. Fuseya S. 11. Ogawa K. 9. Yoshihira T. 15. Tsuboi K.
Substitutes
26. Dohi K. 7. Kitsui T. 5. Minakuchi Y. 36. Morimura S. 31. Sekinuma N. (G) 6. Tachino S. 28. Toya T. 99. Vinicius Souza 27. Wada H.
13. Fukazawa S. 99. Harada G. (G) 5. Imase J. 7. Kameda A. 42. Kim T. 32. Mizoguchi S. 30. Nakashima Y. 33. Takahashi Y. 48. Ueda K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
57', 0 - 1, Ogawa K. ⚽, Fuseya S. (A),
58', Matsuoka D. ↓, Takahashi Y. ↑,
58', Ogawa K. ↓, Kameda A. ↑,
58', Tsuboi K. ↓, Kim T. ↑,
60', Masuda S. ↓, Kitsui T. ↑,
60', Nose R. ↓, Toya T. ↑,
67', 1 - 1, Mima K. ⚽, Sumida S. (A),
68', Kubo R. 🟨,
76', Shimada T. ↓, Morimura S. ↑,
82', Yoshihira T. ↓, Nakashima Y. ↑,
86', 1 - 2, Kim T. (Penalty Awarded),
87', Kubo R. ↓, Wada H. ↑,
87', Sumida S. ↓, Vinicius Souza ↑,
88', Kagawa Y. ↓, Mizoguchi S. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Osaka won 0.
In recent matches, Osaka has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Kataller Toyama is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins โ 4).
Recently, Kataller Toyama has had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Osaka won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.3:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Osaka won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).
China
Japan
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Sugawara H. (G) 
Vinicius Souza 
Kim T. 
