Match Info

J2 League - Round 6

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Arigato Service Dream (Imabari)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Imabari		Sagan Tosu

	1	X	2
	4.00	3.40	1.81
	3.70	3.20	1.87
	3.35	3.35	2.02	Watch
	4.00	3.52	1.98
	3.75	3.49	1.96	Watch
	3.95	3.45	1.91
	4.06	3.45	1.88	Watch
	3.85	3.40	1.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.83 ↑ (3.54)	3.41 ↓ (3.44)	1.92 ↓ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Imabari
24.2%

Draw
27.3%

Sagan Tosu
48.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26%

26.8%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25%

25.8%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Imabari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Sagan Tosu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Imabari than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Imabari - Sagan Tosu Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Tosu will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Ito G. (G) 29. Maruyama Y. 35. Kushibiki K. 99. Gabriel Gomes 2. Umeki R. 80. Nakai T. 6. Kajiura Y. 15. Kikuchi K. 26. Palocevic A. 14. Komai Y. 10. Junio E.	1. Izumori R. (G) 5. Nagasawa S. 4. Imazu Y. 44. Abe K. 28. Yoshida M. 21. Toyoda A. 6. Sakurai T. 11. Shiohama R. 18. Hyon R. 16. Nishizawa K. 9. Takahashi T.
Substitutes
19. Furuyama K. 17. Mochii K. 8. Mori K. 30. Shibano H. 3. Son T. 1. Tachikawa K. (G) 24. Takeuchi Y. 11. Wesley Tanque 7. Yamada T.	42. Goto H. 13. Jojo K. 3. Kamiyama K. 12. Matsubara S. (G) 2. Matsumoto N. 37. Morishita R. 20. Nakahara H. 10. Suzuki D. 43. Yoshino K.
Coaches
Mourelo A.	Kogiku A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Nagasawa S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Junio E. ↓, Furuyama K. ↑,
60', Palocevic A. ↓, Mori K. ↑,
61', Hyon R. ↓, Nakahara H. ↑,
68', Gabriel Gomes 🟨,
70', Takahashi T. ↓, Suzuki D. ↑,
71', Yoshida M. ↓, Yoshino K. ↑,
71', Sakurai T. ↓, Matsumoto N. ↑,
72', Matsumoto N. 🟨,
76', Komai Y. ↓, Mochii K. ↑,
82', Shiohama R. ↓, Jojo K. ↑,
85', Kajiura Y. ↓, Yamada T. ↑,
85', Nakai T. ↓, Wesley Tanque ↑,
89', 1 - 0, Mori K. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League and 9).

Recent form of Imabari has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tosu is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Tosu could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Imabari won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Imabari won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Sagan Tosu	10	3	2	5	9:12	-3	11
17	Imabari	10	3	1	6	11:19	-8	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Imabari
Japan J2 League
06.09.26	Oita Trinita - Imabari	1:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
02.09.26	Zweigen Kanazawa - Imabari	2:1 ✺
Japan J2 League
29.08.26	Imabari - Montedio Yamagata	0:3 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	Imabari - Blaublitz Akita	4:1 ✺
Japan J2 League
22.08.26	Kataller Toyama - Imabari	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLLWL
- Sagan Tosu
Japan J2 League
05.09.26	Sagan Tosu - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	2:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
02.09.26	Nara Club - Sagan Tosu	1:2 ✺
Japan J2 League
29.08.26	Yokohama FC - Sagan Tosu	2:2 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	Sagan Tosu - Kataller Toyama	4:0 ✺
Japan J2 League
22.08.26	Sagan Tosu - Tochigi City	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
27.09.25	Imabari - Sagan Tosu	1:1
01.03.25	Sagan Tosu - Imabari	1:4

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