Match Info

JAPAN: J3 League - Round 38

Date: 24 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Arigato Service Dream (Imabari)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Imabari		Tegevajaro Miyazaki

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.7	4.4
	1.63	3.7	4.7
	1.67	3.95	5.07
	1.69	3.69	4.96	Watch
	1.53	3.8	4.6
	1.6	3.74	4.86	Watch
	1.63	3.7	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.93)	3.75 ↑ (3.2)	4.76 ↑ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Imabari
56.4%

Draw
24.4%

Tegevajaro Miyazaki
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

28.3%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

30.1%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Imabari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Imabari's performance.

Tegevajaro Miyazaki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tegevajaro Miyazaki might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Imabari than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Imabari that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tegevajaro Miyazaki than the current prediction. (+4%)

Imabari - Tegevajaro Miyazaki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Ito G. (G) 4. Ichihara R. 22. Saitai Y. 2. Kato T. 37. Umeki R. 6. Moschion T. 14. Yuba K. 77. Kato J. 50. Mikado Y. 10. Indio 36. Yokoyama Y.	55. Aoki K. (G) 14. Satsukida S. 33. Kuroki K. 35. Egawa G. 15. Tsujioka Y. 5. Sakai S. 50. Yasuda K. 8. Rikiyasu S. 44. Inoue R. 18. Yoshizawa S. 58. Take H.
Substitutes
27. Dohi K. 26. Futami H. 21. Hino T. 9. Kondo T. 25. Kusumi K. 11. Sakano T. 1. Shugyo T. (G)	2. Aoyama I. 42. Einaga T. 19. Takase U. 45. Tanaka S. 57. Ueda S. (G) 7. Uozato N. 27. Watanabe S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Take H. ↓, Watanabe S. ↑,
56', Moschion T. ↓, Kusumi K. ↑,
63', Yokoyama Y. ↓, Kondo T. ↑,
63', Mikado Y. ↓, Dohi K. ↑,
73', Sakai S. ↓, Einaga T. ↑,
76', 1 - 0, Ichihara R. ⚽,
83', Rikiyasu S. ↓, Takase U. ↑,
89', Kato J. ↓, Hino T. ↑,
89', Saitai Y. ↓, Futami H. ↑,
90+1', Tsujioka Y. ↓, Tanaka S. ↑,
90+1', Satsukida S. ↓, Aoyama I. ↑,

Last Results with these Odds

Tegevajaro Miyazaki - the odds 3.68 are the expected chance of winning is 24.65%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Imabari
Japan J3 League
16.11.24	Kamatamare Sanuki - Imabari	0:1 ✺
09.11.24	Gainare Tottori - Imabari	0:5 ✺
03.11.24	Imabari - Ryūkyū	2:1 ✺
26.10.24	Gifu - Imabari	4:1 ✺
19.10.24	Omiya Ardija - Imabari	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWLT
- Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Japan J3 League
17.11.24	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - YSCC	3:2 ✺
10.11.24	Azul Claro Numazu - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	1:2 ✺
02.11.24	Matsumoto Yamaga - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	1:0 ✺
27.10.24	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Osaka	1:0 ✺
20.10.24	Kamatamare Sanuki - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
10.04.24	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Imabari	1:2
29.07.23	Imabari - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	3:0
17.06.23	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Imabari	1:1
25.09.22	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Imabari	2:3
29.04.22	Imabari - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	0:0
10.10.21	Imabari - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	0:1
02.05.21	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Imabari	2:1

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