Match Info

J3 League - Round 30

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Pikara (Marugame)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Kamatamare Sanuki		Tegevajaro Miyazaki

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.58	3.2	2.4
	2.78	3.39	2.44
	2.85	3.31	2.37	Watch
	3.02	3.23	2.34	Watch
	2.45	3.2	2.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↓ (2.92)	3.27 ↑ (3.2)	2.41 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Kamatamare Sanuki
33.7%

Draw
28.2%

Tegevajaro Miyazaki
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

28.7%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

27.8%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kamatamare Sanuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Tegevajaro Miyazaki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kamatamare Sanuki than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tegevajaro Miyazaki than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Kamatamare Sanuki - Tegevajaro Miyazaki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Iida M. (G) 2. Uchida M. 5. Komatsu T. 99. Tsukegi Y. 24. Ueno A. 33. Kawakami S. 6. Hasegawa H. 15. Iwamoto K. 17. Makiyama K. 10. Kawanishi S. 22. Ono Y.	32. Lee Chung-won (G) 24. Matsumoto Y. 33. Kuroki K. 28. Manabe H. 39. Shimokawa Y. 20. Ano M. 50. Yasuda K. 8. Rikiyasu S. 47. Okumura K. 11. Hashimoto K. 58. Take H.
Substitutes
7. Eguchi N. 44. Hayashida K. 1. Imamura Y. (G) 23. Iwagishi S. 18. Miyaichi T. 40. Nishimaru M. 21. Noh S. 35. Sago S. 27. Yanagi Y.	35. Egawa G. 10. Inoue R. 42. Matsumoto K. 31. Okamoto M. (G) 6. Okuma K. 41. Sakai S. 4. Sakurai F. 45. Tanaka S. 18. Yoshizawa S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
24', 0 - 1, Hashimoto K. ⚽, Take H. (A),
45+4', 0 - 2, Kuroki K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Hasegawa H. ↓, Nishimaru M. ↑,
46', Makiyama K. ↓, Eguchi N. ↑,
63', Komatsu T. ↓, Hayashida K. ↑,
63', Ono Y. ↓, Iwagishi S. ↑,
64', 0 - 3, Hashimoto K. ⚽, Okumura K. (A),
76', Take H. ↓, Yoshizawa S. ↑,
76', Okumura K. ↓, Inoue R. ↑,
77', Kawakami S. ↓, Sago S. ↑,
85', 0 - 4, Yoshizawa S. ⚽,
86', Kuroki K. ↓, Egawa G. ↑,
86', Ano M. ↓, Sakai S. ↑,
88', 1 - 4, Kawanishi S. (Pen),
90+1', 1 - 5, Hashimoto K. ⚽,
90+2', Yasuda K. ↓, Okuma K. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kamatamare won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Tegevajaro Miyazaki may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Kamatamare won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Kamatamare won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.8:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kamatamare Sanuki
Japan J3 League
27.09.25	Zweigen Kanazawa - Kamatamare Sanuki	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	Kamatamare Sanuki - Sagamihara	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Fukushima United - Kamatamare Sanuki	4:2 ✺
06.09.25	Nara Club - Kamatamare Sanuki	4:3 ✺
31.08.25	Kamatamare Sanuki - Thespakusatsu Gunma	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWLLW
- Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Japan J3 League
27.09.25	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Ryūkyū	4:2 ✺
20.09.25	Kagoshima United - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	2:0 ✺
14.09.25	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Vanraure Hachinohe	1:0 ✺
06.09.25	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Tochigi	2:3 ✺
30.08.25	Kochi United - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
28.06.25	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Kamatamare Sanuki	1:0
20.10.24	Kamatamare Sanuki - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	0:4
22.06.24	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Kamatamare Sanuki	3:3
02.09.23	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Kamatamare Sanuki	0:1
15.07.23	Kamatamare Sanuki - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	2:1
13.08.22	Kamatamare Sanuki - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	1:1
15.05.22	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Kamatamare Sanuki	0:0

Upcoming Matches