Match Info

Date: 15 November 2020, Sunday


	Imolese		Südtirol-Alto Adige

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.1	2
	3.75	3.1	1.91	Watch
	3.95	3	1.9
	3.7	2.95	1.99
	3.96	3.05	2.04
	3.9	3.1	2
	3.6	3.24	2.02	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.8 ↑ (2.63)	3.08 ↑ (2.89)	1.98 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Imolese
24.1%

Draw
29.7%

Südtirol-Alto Adige
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

31.3%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.7%

22.5%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Imolese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Imolese's form might have worsened.

Südtirol-Alto Adige has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Südtirol-Alto Adige's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Imolese than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Imolese - Südtirol Alto Adige Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).

Imolese is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Südtirol is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Südtirol could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Südtirol will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Imolese won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Imolese won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Imolese Calcio 1919
Italian Serie C Group B
11.11.20	Triestina - Imolese	1:0 ✺
08.11.20	Imolese - Modena	0:1 ✺
01.11.20	Mantova - Imolese	0:0 ✺
25.10.20	Imolese - Fermana	0:1 ✺
21.10.20	Imolese - Sambenedettese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLTLT
- Südtirol-Alto Adige
Italian Serie C Group B
11.11.20	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Mantova	2:1 ✺
07.11.20	Fano - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:1 ✺
01.11.20	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Sambenedettese	0:0 ✺
25.10.20	Padova - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:0 ✺
21.10.20	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Carpi	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
03.11.19	Imolese - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:2
28.04.19	Imolese - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:0
22.12.18	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Imolese	1:1

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